Originally posted by Dune
Dunno about that, I'm seeing many papers saying the opposite
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Anecdotal evidence rarely proves the point, and journalists especially often miss the mark when it comes to political causes and effects. But I digress.
John Edwards trying to get in touch with rural voters on the issue
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I'd say that's a political mistake, especially during a primary. This is the period where Edwards needs to move to the left, not to the right. It's one of many mistakes he's made already, and his chances of winning the Democratic nomination are quite slim to none as it is. What's more, his stance on gun control appears intellectually dishonest given his background as a torts trial lawyer.
Article saying gun control is a hotter topic than many believe some areas.
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Did you read this one? It supports the current Democratic strategy on gun control and points out that NRA-endorsed Senate candidates have lost a majority of the races in which they've participated since 2000. Couple that with the fact that the website centers around gun control policy and of course you're going to find that it overstates the importance of the issue to voters.
http://www.kansascity.com/mld/kansascity/news/politics/5839391.htm
A lot of quotes in that one from heads of interest groups concerned with gun control or the freedom to own guns, but realize again that they tend to overstate the issue. One quote from the article that particularly draws a smile from me was this throw away by the author:
"Many political observers -- and certainly the NRA -- credit Democrat Al Gore's narrow defeat in 2000 to pro-gun voters in West Virginia, Tennessee, Montana and other states teeming with hunters."
I've seen numerous analyses of Gore's defeat in 2000, but I can honestly say that I've never, ever heard or read this one. Again, consider the sources -- the NRA? Of course they're going to claim credit, but that doesn't make it true. And political observers? Who, exactly? Larry Bartels and John Zaller certainly disagree. So do Michael Lewis-Beck, Charles Tien, and various other well-respected political scientists who've actually run robust quantitative analyses on the 2000 election.
Don't accept anything at face value, especially from those close to the gun control issue on either side. The simple fact remains that gun control may motivate a few single issue voters on either side of the political spectrum, but for the vast majority of voters gun control barely registers on the radar screen.
-- Todd/Leviathn