Originally posted by Hortlund
SaburoS
This is the most plausible scenario for Iranian nuke-use.
1) Nuke smuggled into Israel via Lebanon and Hezbollah
2) Nuke detonated in Tel Aviv
3) Someone else (Al Qaeda) takes blame
4) Uranium traces from the blast are identified as coming from Iranian reactors.
5) Israel and/or US Nukes Iran off the map for good.
LOL!!!
Hey this is almost as "plausible" as your Saddam's Al Quaida Sleeper cells in the US with their mass mail Anthrax attack!
So just how are they gonna smuggle an Atomic bomb into Israel without detection? How big is it going to be? Will it be a nuclear or atomic warhead? You really think they can manufacture 1 megaton warheads/bombs? How many will they manufature?
They are smart enough to manufacture their own atomic bomb, but stupid enough to leave possible evidence? Pure fiction, dude.
How about we try this more plausible scenario:
After seeing the US plan and execute a major invasion and occupation of Iraq (Iran's long standing, historical enemy), Iran feels that it definately needs to have an "equalizer" to protect itself. They have been publicly targeted by the same administration that has pulled off the Iraq invasion/occupation.
They feel they have no alternative now because if they did have nukes, we wouldn't be rattling our sabres against them.
Iran has more to fear from it's Arab neighbors and the US rather than Israel. Recent to distant history bears this out.