Author Topic: Lazs - London/New York crime trends - interesting article  (Read 2450 times)

Offline Toad

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Lazs - London/New York crime trends - interesting article
« Reply #45 on: January 11, 2005, 01:25:06 PM »
I suspect what bothers Beet most is the meticulous nature of Cramer's article with 97 footnotes documenting what happened and supporting his argument.

So much easier when one can just dismiss any argument by attacking the writer.

Facts are so inconvenient for guys like Beet.

2+2=4, no matter who does the math. So it is with the relationship between England's upper classes + Fear of Bolshevism = Firearms Act of 1920.
If ye love wealth better than liberty, the tranquility of servitude than the animated contest of freedom, go from us in peace. We ask not your counsels or arms. Crouch down and lick the hands which feed you. May your chains sit lightly upon you, and may posterity forget that you were our countrymen!

Offline lazs2

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Lazs - London/New York crime trends - interesting article
« Reply #46 on: January 11, 2005, 02:33:04 PM »
If more police are on the beat in NY then there are more guns in the city... no way around that.   Beets and englands solution to crime is to put more guns on the streets (more armed police).  How is that supporting beets arguement?

lazs

Offline NUKE

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Lazs - London/New York crime trends - interesting article
« Reply #47 on: January 11, 2005, 02:39:06 PM »
Good point Laz.

Beetle's argument has officially been shot to hell about 3 different ways.

Offline Rolex

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Lazs - London/New York crime trends - interesting article
« Reply #48 on: January 11, 2005, 07:28:13 PM »
More fun with statistics:

Physicians --

The number of physicians in the U.S. is 700,000.
Accidental deaths caused by physicians per year is 120,000.
Accidental deaths per physician are 0.171.
(Statistics courtesy of U.S. Dept. of Health and Human Services)
 
Gun owners --
 
The number of gun owners in the U.S. is 80,000,000.
The number of accidental gun deaths per year is 1,500.
The number of accidental deaths per gun owner is 0.000188.

Statistically, doctors are approximately 9,000 times more dangerous than gun owners.

We can twist and turn statistics any way to suit our purpose. In the end, people are killed and maimed in all societies by accidents and willful actions. A society's set of laws and enforcement of them reflects its moral values.

Violent crime is a societal issue for the major part, and the actions of social misfits and mentally ill for the minor part. There forever have been, and forever will be, a percentage of misfits in every society. It is unavoidable. The societal issues that cause violent crime are not so easily answered in societies where the rights of citizens are cherished.

Logical, common sense law enforcement, education that prepares people for gainful employment (Not everyone is university caliber and what is a new high school graduate actually prepared to do? Nothing.), jobs, jobs, jobs and most importantly -- families and the guidance and values taught and tolerated by them during childhood do more to prepare children for living and prospering in a society as adults than diminshing the rights of tens of millions of law-abiding gun owners.

The American dream is not about the house and car. The dream of America and reason for its strength (beyond the natural resources and the potential it offered) is the self-reliant mindset nurtured by personal freedoms and rights. I truly believe Americans are far more resistant to limits being placed on their behavior because of the actions of a small portion of social misfits and mentally ill than any other nationality.
« Last Edit: January 11, 2005, 07:38:31 PM by Rolex »

Offline lazs2

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Lazs - London/New York crime trends - interesting article
« Reply #49 on: January 12, 2005, 08:56:01 AM »
Rolex... that is very well put.   It is one of the reasons that I say things like "who cares what the homicide rate with firearms is" or "it is a small price to pay"... It is why I am less moved by a picture of a child shot than I am by one drowned or run over by a drunk or a cell phone user who is trying to make a point to the extremely important person on the other end of the connect and can't bother to control 1.5 tons of deadly force.  

It is also the basic reason why Americans are not understood by the soicialists on this board who believe that the government is your friend and that it is some how perverted to be self reliant and to not bow to the wishes of special interest groups.

"Logical, common sense law enforcement, education that prepares people for gainful employment (Not everyone is university caliber and what is a new high school graduate actually prepared to do? Nothing.), jobs, jobs, jobs and most importantly -- families and the guidance and values taught and tolerated by them during childhood do more to prepare children for living and prospering in a society as adults than diminshing the rights of tens of millions of law-abiding gun owners.

The American dream is not about the house and car. The dream of America and reason for its strength (beyond the natural resources and the potential it offered) is the self-reliant mindset nurtured by personal freedoms and rights. I truly believe Americans are far more resistant to limits being placed on their behavior because of the actions of a small portion of social misfits and mentally ill than any other nationality."

We have had our "dunbanes" and the women couldn't shame us into giving up our rights...  Gun owners get angry at crime... If anything... they feel even more like they need to take care of themselves and their families.

lazs

Offline beet1e

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Lazs - London/New York crime trends - interesting article
« Reply #50 on: January 12, 2005, 12:12:01 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by Toad
I suspect what bothers Beet most is the meticulous nature of Cramer's article with 97 footnotes documenting what happened and supporting his argument.

So much easier when one can just dismiss any argument by attacking the writer.

Facts are so inconvenient for guys like Beet.

2+2=4, no matter who does the math. So it is with the relationship between England's upper classes + Fear of Bolshevism = Firearms Act of 1920.
Well, it looks like we have a stalemate. We have two reports giving reasons for the 1920 Firearms Act.
  • The "Fear and Loathing" report by Clayton Cramer, the senior NRA vice president and gun lobbyist - and even he concedes that Thomas Jones believed the threat of armed uprising to be "greatly exaggerated", and that PM Lloyd George believed it to be overblown. But ask yourself why Cramer would be writing about Britain, other than to add weight to his NRA gun lobby campaign at home.
  • Then we have the Blackwell Report - an official report which makes no mention of Bolshevism and is impartial unlike Cramer, but part of which has been dismissed as lies by the pro-gun lobby
Part of the NRA propaganda that I've seen on this board is that disarmament of the public is a prelude to their being rounded up and exterminated. LOL. I posted a pic of a dalek the first time I saw that.

Well, I can confirm that we have not been exterminated. So read Cramers report, and read the Blackwell report. Also take into account that in various texts in British history books I looked at this week noted concern about "bolshevism" but went no further. No mention of guns, the firearms act.

So I leave it to you to decide which of these two accounts is more in keeping with actual events from 1920 to the present. I've made my choice. YMMV.

Offline Toad

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Lazs - London/New York crime trends - interesting article
« Reply #51 on: January 12, 2005, 02:26:20 PM »
There's no stalemate whatsoever.

First, there are other sources than Cramer that make the same case successfully. Cramer just seems to be the only one you looked at.

Second, while Jones himself may have considered the threat exaggerated he does not 1) say the other Cabinet ministers felt the same way and in fact points out that many of them fervently believed it and 2) he himself does not discount it but merely views it as exaggerated.

Third, the Blackwell Committee needs more research on your part. Suffice it to say you continually overlook the obvious:

Quote
There are two distinct categories of person from whom danger is to be apprehended, viz., (1) the savage or semi-civilised tribesmen in outlying parts of the British Empire, whose main demand is for rifles and ammunition, and (2) the anarchist or 'intellectual' malcontent of the great cities, whose weapons are the bomb and the automatic pistol.  There is some force in the view .... that the latter will in future prove the more dangerous of the two
[/b]

Given the time of the report, 1918, and the participation of anarchists in the Russian revolution there can be no doubt about the reference here. The anarchists and Bolsheviks used many of the same slogans during that period. It's just immutable history no matter how you try to discount it.

It's the same with you discounting any NRA source. As I said, fact is fact, no matter who points it out.

Salve your ego as you like; you're SO totally wrong on this it is laughable.
If ye love wealth better than liberty, the tranquility of servitude than the animated contest of freedom, go from us in peace. We ask not your counsels or arms. Crouch down and lick the hands which feed you. May your chains sit lightly upon you, and may posterity forget that you were our countrymen!

Offline beet1e

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Lazs - London/New York crime trends - interesting article
« Reply #52 on: January 12, 2005, 03:20:47 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by Toad
There's no stalemate whatsoever.

First, there are other sources than Cramer that make the same case successfully.  
What - other NRA sources? Oh puhleeeeze... :rolleyes:
Quote
Third, the Blackwell Committee needs more research on your part. Suffice it to say you continually overlook the obvious:
.
.
Given the time of the report, 1918, and the participation of anarchists in the Russian revolution there can be no doubt about the reference here. The anarchists and Bolsheviks used many of the same slogans during that period. It's just immutable history no matter how you try to discount it.
I suspect that the real threat - "malcontents" - was in reference to the Irish question. Granted, I'm assuming that - but you're assuming that the reference in the Blackwell report to malcontents is with regard to the bolsheviks - and that assumption seems to be the only material you have to support any link between the Firearms Act and any perceived threat of a bolshevik uprising in Britain. Well let's look at the facts, shall we? There was an armed Irish uprising - in 1916; there was no bolshevik uprising in Britain. Ever.

And here's the quote from tce2506 in an earlier thread, warning us of what happens after our government has disarmed us. No doubt this is more NRA induced claptrap - at least it is with regard to Britain.
Quote

 HISTORY....
==============
Are you considering backing gun control laws? Do you think that
because you may not own a gun, the rights guaranteed by the Second Amendment don't matter?

CONSIDER; In 1929 the Soviet Union established gun control. From 1929 to 1953, approximately 20 million dissidents, unable to defend themselves, were rounded up and exterminated.

In 1911, Turkey established gun control. From 1915-1917, 1.5 million Armenians, unable to defend themselves, were rounded up and exterminated.

Germany established gun control in 1938 and from 1939 to 1945, 13 million Jews, gypsies, homosexuals, the mentally ill, and others, who were unable to defend themselves, were rounded up and exterminated.
China established gun control in 1935. From 1948 to 1952, 20 million political dissidents, unable to defend themselves, were rounded up and exterminated.

Guatemala established gun control in 1964. From 1964 to 1981, 100,000 Mayan Indians, unable to defend themselves, were rounded up and exterminated.

Uganda established gun control in 1970. From 1971 to 1979, 300,000 Christians, unable to defend themselves, were rounded up and exterminated.

Cambodia established gun control in 1956. From 1975 to 1977, one million "educated" people, unable to defend themselves, were rounded up and exterminated.


Erm, 85 years after the 1920 Firearms Act: We have still not been rounded up. We have still not been exterminated.

Like I said - two documents - each giving an account of the reasons for the Firearms Act. You have chosen which one you want to believe. I have done the same - based on a number of factors, including the fact that we have not been rounded up and exterminated. :lol

Gotta laugh - the people supporting you here in this thread are all NRA members - to a man. :lol

Offline Mini D

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Lazs - London/New York crime trends - interesting article
« Reply #53 on: January 12, 2005, 03:35:10 PM »
You're the one that brought up "exterminated" beetle... in an aparent attempt to take it to a rediculous extreme.   The words everyone else was using is "defenseless".   That's actually the key word in every line you quoted.  You don't really notice because you simply don't know any better.

And kudos on, once again. ignoring everything toad linked... or simply misunderstanding it.  Only you can think "admits the bulshevic concerns were exagerated" to mean it wasn't even a consideration.  That's pretty damn funny.  Only you can think that still being allive means that being defenseless is obviously the best solution.  Talk about lack of foresight.

Offline Toad

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Lazs - London/New York crime trends - interesting article
« Reply #54 on: January 12, 2005, 04:26:41 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by beet1e
What - other NRA sources?


Two points yet again:

1. Facts are facts. If Cramer is an NRA guy, show where's he's wrong. You are clearly unable to do that, so you merely toss out the red herrings. 2+2 = 4 no matter if an NRA guy does the math or anyone else.

2. I have given you other sources. Several. From newspaper accounts at the time to the Whitehall Diaries of Jones where he CLEARLY points out that the majority of the Cabinet viewed Bolshevism as a major threat. For just one of the MANY examples I posted (footnoted)

Quote
At a Cabinet meeting on January 17, 1919, the Chief of the Imperial General Staff raised the threat of "Red Revolution and blood and war at home and abroad."



Quote
Beet:  I suspect that the real threat - "malcontents" - was in reference to the Irish question.


You ASSumed and it proved you an.........

First, the "Irish malcontents" were already subjected to a gun licensing system before the Firearms Act of 1920 under colonial laws.

Second:

Quote
the anarchist or 'intellectual' malcontent of the great cities, whose weapons are the bomb and the automatic pistol. There is some force in the view .... that the latter will in future prove the more dangerous of the two. At any rate, his activities will call for unceasing vigilance, and very special precautions will be necessary to control the trade in automatic pistols, which, apart from their extreme deadliness, are, by reason of their size and shape, more easily smuggled than any other type of weapon.


You ASSume Ireland had multiple "great cities" on the scale of say London or Glasgow or Manchester? Think about it; this clearly refers to an arena far larger than Ireland.


 
Quote
Beet: seems to be the only material you have to support any link between the Firearms Act and any perceived threat of a bolshevik uprising in Britain.
[/b]

Well, I'm sure you think so since you ignore all the other clear links previously posted.

The Chief of the Imperial General Staff; The Minister of Transport, Sir Eric Geddes; Sir Basil Thomson, Scotland Yard's Director of Intelligence; the Bishop of Oxford; Walter Long, Secretary of State for the Colonies; Robert Munro, Secretary of State for Scotland; Home Secretary Shortt; Adjutant-General Sir George Macdonogh and Food Minister Roberts all commented.

But of course, you discount them since they don't agree with your hypothesis.

It has nothing whatsoever to do with the NRA.

It is totally cocerned with your monstrous ego and your inability to admit your are wrong when faced with overwhelming, incontrovertible evidence in the form of quotes from the very men who made up your government at the time.
« Last Edit: January 12, 2005, 04:29:06 PM by Toad »
If ye love wealth better than liberty, the tranquility of servitude than the animated contest of freedom, go from us in peace. We ask not your counsels or arms. Crouch down and lick the hands which feed you. May your chains sit lightly upon you, and may posterity forget that you were our countrymen!

Offline beet1e

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Lazs - London/New York crime trends - interesting article
« Reply #55 on: January 12, 2005, 05:58:49 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by Mini D
You're the one that brought up "exterminated" beetle...  
Nope - that was tce2506 in another thread.

Mr.Toad - then why is there so little made of this "bolshevik" question - in the Blackwell Report, and in various British historical accounts? I told you that I looked at several at the library this week. You are right in saying that there WAS concern regarding Russian subversion in Britain following 1917. But I have seen NO evidence of any REAL threat of armed proletarian uprising. All I have seen is a bunch of rumours, which you and Cramer and other victims of NRA paranoia have seized upon to make a point.

Going back to British historical accounts, I looked at a few - here is one. Bolshevism is mentioned - but nothing about the likelihood of an armed uprising, which seems to have have been more imagined than real, and forms the centrepiece of your argument.

Oh, and no mention of the "draconian gun seizure about to befall Britain". Maybe it was   another non-issue?

Excerpt from British Political History 1867-2001  - ISBN-0-415-26870-2


Offline Toad

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« Reply #56 on: January 12, 2005, 06:15:01 PM »
The Blackwell Report does directly mention the Bolshevik threat, although you refuse to recognize it.

Quote
We regard the whole position as one of considerable gravity. There are two distinct categories of person from whom danger is to be apprehended, viz., (1) the savage or semi-civilised tribesmen in outlying parts of the British Empire, whose main demand is for rifles and ammunition, and (2) the anarchist or 'intellectual' malcontent of the great cities, whose weapons are the bomb and the automatic pistol. There is some force in the view .... that the latter will in future prove the more dangerous of the two.


Now given the time, 1918, and the alliance of anarchists and Bolsheviks in the Russian revolution at that time,  only someone as ego-blinded as yourself could fail to see the connection.

Quote
Beet: I have seen NO evidence of any REAL threat of armed proletarian uprising
[/b]

That's just another of your red herrings. No one has made the case that an actual proletarian uprising took place in Britain.

The case made, which you studiously ignore is that the Chief of the Imperial General Staff; The Minister of Transport, Sir Eric Geddes; Sir Basil Thomson, Scotland Yard's Director of Intelligence; the Bishop of Oxford; Walter Long, Secretary of State for the Colonies; Robert Munro, Secretary of State for Scotland; Home Secretary Shortt; Adjutant-General Sir George Macdonogh and Food Minister Roberts all commented on the percieved threat they saw of Bolshevism in England.

They are not rumors; they are in most cases direct quotes from the politicians in power. These quotes are documented. Not all are from an NRA member. Those that are from an NRA member as researcher have no shadow on their historical accuracy. The source documents are available.

Quote
Beet: draconian gun seizure about to befall Britain
[/b]

That would be because YOU are the only one to mention that and tie it to the 1920/Bolshevism/Firearms Act discussion.

I challenge you to go back through this thread and the other thread and find where I said anything about "draconian gun seizure about to befall Britain in the immediate post-1920 and the percieved threat of Bolshevism" period.

What I said was it was the beginning of the slide towards confiscation that finally happened after Hungerford/Dunblane.

You again just choose to deliberately mis-interpret what is said so you can make a straw man argument.
« Last Edit: January 12, 2005, 07:34:41 PM by Toad »
If ye love wealth better than liberty, the tranquility of servitude than the animated contest of freedom, go from us in peace. We ask not your counsels or arms. Crouch down and lick the hands which feed you. May your chains sit lightly upon you, and may posterity forget that you were our countrymen!

Offline streetstang

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Lazs - London/New York crime trends - interesting article
« Reply #57 on: January 12, 2005, 07:28:02 PM »
Why do you constantly feel the need to defend not only yourself but your country beetle? is your dick that small that you have to show everyone how big your balls are?

Im so sick of seeing your crap that you post to try and show us all how much better you are than americans.

Lazs might like you, and you dam well might be an "OK" guy in real life, but i think your a complete idiot.


Should i find a Golly-gee article to prove that?

Jesus give it a freakin rest.

Offline streetstang

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« Reply #58 on: January 12, 2005, 07:32:05 PM »
On a side note.

What the hell would you care if we all picked up a gun and started killing each other here until we were all dead and gone...

That would just mean you'd have no one to blame watermelon on is all.

Offline beet1e

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Lazs - London/New York crime trends - interesting article
« Reply #59 on: January 13, 2005, 05:09:57 AM »
Morpheus – I’m having an interesting discussion with Toad. Add me to your ignore list if it bothers you.

Toad! :)   Well, your earlier equation seemed quite unequivocal that the 1920 Firearms Act was introduced for one reason, and one reason only – the perceived threat of an armed  “bolshevik” uprising. Your equation was 2+2=4  -which leaves no room for any other variables at all.

And yet, turning to the Blackwell Report once more, we find that there ARE other variables in the equation. I shall reproduce a section of the report and highlight some of the salient points.

Quote
Grounds for strengthening the Law.-That the control of firearms should be made far more stringent than it is now is a proposition which hardly anyone could be found to question. Attention had been called to the matter in Parliament before the war, and on the 13th of March 1913, a Return was made to the House of Commons of the cases in which firearms had been used against Police Officers in England and Wales in the five years 1908-1912. The Return (Paper 188 of 1913) showed that in these five years 47 cases had occurred, in which 92 Police Officers had been shot at, 6 had been killed and 24 had been injured. In 34 of the 47 cases the weapon used was known to be a revolver or some other kind of pistol. Of the 47 cases 15 occurred in the Metropolitan Police District.

In October, 1912, the Commissioner of Police of the Metropolis informed the Home Secretary that in the dock strike of that year seven cases had occurred in which men concerned in the strike came into the hands of the Police for using firearms and five others for carrying them though not actually using them; and that ten other cases of the carrying of firearms were known to the Police, although in these no offender had been actually apprehended or summoned. The Commissioner of Police has also furnished us with other figures to show the extent to which firearms were used for criminal purposes, or if not actually used, were at any rate in the possession of persons who came into the hands of police, in the three years 1911-1913 and 1915-1917 respectively. It appears that in the three years 1911-1913, firearms were used in the Metropolitan Police District by 100 persons of British nationality and by 23 aliens; while firearms were found in the possession of British subjects in 76 cases and of aliens in 27 cases. The corresponding figures in the three years 1915-1917 were 42 and 5 as regards the use of firearms by British subjects and aliens, respectively, and 44 and 10 as regards the possession of them. The decline in the latter period as compared with the three years before the war is no doubt due to the restrictions on the purchase of firearms imposed by the Regulations under the Defence of the Realm Act, and the measures taken for the internment of alien enemies during the war; but if firearms can be brought into the country or obtained here with the same ease when peace is concluded as the law at present allows, the numbers may be expected to rise to or above their former level.

The returns also show that in nearly half of the cases in which firearms were used, sometimes with fatal effect, in the Metropolitan Police District in the years 1910-17, they appear to have been used without any particular premeditation in the course of ordinary quarrels - in some cases in street-fights - when, but for the offender's possession of a lethal weapon, probably no serious harm would have been done or attempted. In many of these cases the Courts appear to have taken an extremely lenient view of the offence of using firearms; and the question whether it would not be to the interest of public order that more deterrent penalties should be imposed for this offence, even when no serious injury may have been inflicted, and particularly when firearms are used or carried by persons engaged in crime, is one which it seems to us might well be submitted for the consideration of judicial authorities. In any case the Returns show that there is good reason for so altering the law as to make it much more difficult to obtain firearms than it is at present.
.
.
.
It will be seen, therefore, that prior to the war there was strong reason for amending the law, and this was recognised by the Government in 1911 when the Bill to which we shall presently refer in detail was drafted under the instructions of the Home Secretary. Strong, however, as the case was in 1911, it is immensely stronger now. We have to face the situation that the war will have added enormously to the world's stock of rifles and pistols, that large numbers of pistols, and possibly other weapons, will have come into the possession of private persons, notably discharged soldiers and their relatives, and that the number of men skilled in the use of firearms will have greatly increased. It must also be borne in mind that we can hardly hope to escape on demobilisation an increase in crime. Large numbers of the criminal classes have entered the Army, both voluntarily and under the Military Service Acts; and however effective may be the measures taken to facilitate the return of discharged soldiers to civil life and peaceful occupations, it would be unreasonable to expect that all these men will be ready to settle down at once to agricultural or industrial employment. There would be additional ground for apprehension if men of this class, and indeed discharged soldiers in general, were permitted to retain any revolvers which have come into their possession during their army service, or to procure them under the easy conditions allowed by the existing law.


As can be seen from the above, the need for a change in the law was recognised as long ago as 1911 – long before the Russian Revolution of 1917.

But, it seems that your NRA source is quite dismissive of the reasons given in the Blackwell Report. From one of your earlier posts, he is quoted as saying
Quote
Although popular revolution was the motive, the Home Secretary presented the government's 1920 gun bill to Parliament as strictly a measure "to prevent criminals and persons of that description from being able to have revolvers and to use them." In fact, the problem of criminal, non-political misuse of firearms remained minuscule.
Minuscule? LOL! In a five year period (1908-1912), 92 officers had been shot at, 24 injured and 6 killed – that’s a police mortality rate higher that that of modern times! But your NRA source does not believe the government’s motives, and his considered opinion is
Quote
Of course 1920 would not be the last time a government lied in order to promote gun control.
The government’s rationale according to the Blackwell report seems reasonable and straightforward, so the question that remains is WHY did your NRA source not believe it? Could it possibly have anything to do with the fact that in HIS view it was tantamount to "anti-gun propaganda", and that it provided him with useful material to use in his campaign as a gun lobby activist closer to home? Hmm?

2+2=4  and few people would disagree, but in this case it's an oversimplification. It’s clear that other factors are involved here, and were under review long before 1920.