Author Topic: Extremely Hard to Believe  (Read 2060 times)

Offline Nash

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« Reply #75 on: February 05, 2005, 10:51:52 PM »
I've prolly learned more about present-day Iran from three or four babek posts than I have from anything else.

Offline Toad

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« Reply #76 on: February 05, 2005, 10:52:51 PM »
Yep. Now if he'll jus explain the dire need for peaceful bomb grade uranium.
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Offline Raider179

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« Reply #77 on: February 05, 2005, 11:20:03 PM »
They dont. LEU is fine for reactors. HEU is useful but can be made into nukes.

http://www.ucsusa.org/global_security/nuclear_terrorism/page.cfm?pageID=1387

Offline babek-

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« Reply #78 on: February 06, 2005, 02:49:49 AM »
Quote
Originally posted by Toad
Does this failure to answer mean babek HAS no answer?


No - it just means that I am not able to watch all forums I am reading so precisely that I can answer at the moment someone ask me something :)

Quote
Originally posted by Toad
Babek, why does Iran need bomb grade enriched uranium for civilian uses? I was hoping you'd explain it to me.


Were are the proofs that Iran has bomb grade enriched uranium or is building installations which generates them ?

And please - dont mention these super-accurate sources which told us, that Iraq had huge stockpiles of MDW and was only 45 away from invading the USA - so a immediate attack was necessary.

On the other hand - I will not deny that there is a possibility that our military and our politicians want to have a weapon which will give us a position to avoid attacks against Iran.

This is because of our history.
In the last 100 years we were attacked in both World Wars - despite our declared neutrality.
In WW2 our country was invaded and occupied by the allies, our Shah had to resign and to die in exile, we had to join the allies and the son of the Shah became a puppet who ruled our country with terror.

Then in the 50ties - when Iran was creating its own democracy by a peaceful and unbloody revolution - again foreigners intervened and deposed our prime minister and reinstalled the Shah and his SAVAK - and we got decades of much more terror.

Then we got the bloody revolution and Khomeini - and - yes: Even more terror.

In the Iran-Iraq-War the world accepted that 130.000 iranian soldiers were killed by gas-weapons. Geneva-Convention ? Who cared ? No one. That was again a lesson we learned.
Many european countries and even the USA helped Saddam and there was no single UN-resolution - even when Saddam used his gas weapons against the iraqi kurdish tribes which were allied with Iran.

Then Pakistan got the nuclear bomb. The same Pakistan which was in 90ties our enemy. The same Pakistan which supported the Taliban in Afghanistan while Iran was helping the anti-Taliban-forces.

And we also learned that - even if you dont have MDW and ebven without any UN-resolution - a superpower can invade, destroy and occupy your country and no one could stop them.
While another country defined as a member of the "Axis of Evil" is not touched. N-Korea has the same criminal terror-leader like Saddam - but it also has nuclear weapons.

So indeed I can understand iranian politicians to dream of having a nuclear weapon.

But allow me one question I miss in all these discussions:

Russia, China, european countries are building in Iran the nuclear sites. When there really are proofs that these installations are used for building a nuclear bomb, why there are no threats against these countries ?
Why they are not the Axis of Evil ?

Arent THEY - in the case that they are delivering the nuclear bomb - supporting terrorists ?

Wouldnt it be logical to threaten these countries with the might of the great superpower - so they stop building the sites in Iran ?

Strange that no one did.


I think that Iran is far away from having nuclear weapons.

We know desperately that in no more than 3 decades our main source for money will stop. Then we wouldnt have enough oil to export it to the world.
Meanwhile our population is growing. During the shah-time we had 40 millions iranians - today more than 60 millions.
And these are not primitive mullah fanatics. Iran has a good infrastructure of schools and universities. We have a growing industry - producing our own cars, trucks, jets, planes and so on.
But if run out of home-made energy to maintain this infrastructure - we wont have any future.

This was even seen by the Shah - who started to build the first nuclear sites in Bushir.

Today there are 15 nuclear installations in Iran. And there are no reliable proofs that we are trying to build the bomb.
There are many reason to do so - from the iranian point of view - but I still believe that we are going to build a civilian energy source.

The problem is, that because of the actual political situation, Iran will be the next target in this so called war against terrorists.

Iran is accused to support terrorists - like the Hamas.

But isnt it funny?

On the one hand the USA accuses us to support terrorists - and on the other hand it supports terrorists of Hamas-class by themself.

Just one example:

The USA has a list of terrorist organisations. So the names on these lists are terrorists by US-definition.
One of these organisations is the Mujaheddin-e-Khalk - the MEK.

During the Shah-reign the MEK killed many US-soldiers who were stationed in the imperial Iran.

Then the MEK was involved in the deposal of the Shah and in the innerpolitical fighting. They lost against Khomeini and fled.
They performed bomb attacks against iranian civilians - causing many deaths.

When Saddam attacked Iran the MEK formed to an army with bases in Iraq. Supported by money from exile-iranians and by Saddam they got tanks and other heavy weapons and attacked side by side with the arab hordes against iranians.

What happened with this MEK when the USA invaded and occupied Iraq?
Were they brought - as bad terrorists to Guantanamo-Bay?

No.

They are allowed to wear their light weapons, to live in their military camps in Iraq and are protected by US-soldiers.

Really funny. In the war against terrorists there are terrorists who are protected.

I am sure that these iranian terrorists will be used in a war against Iran. They can infiltrate our country, because they speak our language and look like iranians. They already had betrayed us and killed iranians for Saddam.

And I also know that this is normal in the political game.

But you have to understand on the other hand, that for me it sounds ridiculous when Bush blames us to support terrorist when he also does it at the same time.

Btw - actually there a political groups in the USA trying to get the MEK off the lists of the terrorists.
 
 

OK - so much about this.

Now - to avoid misunderstandings:

The majority of the Iranians want to depose the Mullah regime.
But we must do it alone - not with the open or covert help of foreigners. Then we have the best chance to create a true democracy and not such a thing like in Iraq, where a GrandAjatollah who hates democracy will become one of the most powerful politicians.

When Iran is under pressure - like by stupid speachis (Axis of Evil) or attacks against installations or even a full scale invasion - then the people will follow the ruling regime.

Its a fact - a sad fact - that Bush had helped to stabilze the Mullah regime by his political decisions.
He cant establish a democracy in Iran by threats or using MEK-terrorists.

9/11 was indeed a catastrophy - also for us in Iran. Because before this day we were pushing the Mullahs in the inner political struggle from one defeat to the next. Now they got stronger because of the politic of the Bush-regime.

But I am still convinced that the iranians will depose them without foreign help. It will last longer than we had expected - but finally it will happen.

And so - in our iranian history of 2500 years - the terror regimes of the Shah or the Mullahs will only be small episodes.

Thats what I hope.

Offline beet1e

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« Reply #79 on: February 06, 2005, 04:12:39 AM »
Quote
Originally posted by babek-
Were are the proofs that Iran has bomb grade enriched uranium or is building installations which generates them ?
As Raider179 says, to produce a nuclear bomb requires weapons grade material, Uranium-238 - which actually absorbs another neutron to become Plutonium-239 - that's what's used in a nuclear warhead. To run a reactor needs Uranium that is only 3% pure. But enriched Uranium is needed for weapons construction, and is created by refining low grade fuel into high grade fuel using a nuclear centrifuge.

I've had to brush up on all this, and so spent some time Googling for information about Iran's nuclear program. One of the most interesting texts I found was an article published about a year ago in the American newspaper "USA Today".

Source: http://www.usatoday.com/news/world/2004-02-19-iran-nukes_x.htm
Quote
Last week, U.N. inspectors looking through Iranian nuclear documents found drawings of a so-called P-2 gas centrifuge, twice as productive as a model Iran has acknowledged using to enrich uranium. Iranian Foreign Minister Kamal Kharrazi on Tuesday admitted Iran is doing research on the P-2, but for peaceful purposes.

Erm... you don't need enriched Uranium for "peaceful purposes", and the article also asks why Iran needs a nuclear program of any kind. Nuclear energy is expensive to produce, what with all the problems of nuclear waste. So why would Iran even need nuclear energy, when it has the world's fifth largest oil reserves?

Offline JB88

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« Reply #80 on: February 06, 2005, 04:15:00 AM »
Quote
Originally posted by Nash
I've prolly learned more about present-day Iran from three or four babek posts than I have from anything else.


agreed.  very interesting.
this thread is doomed.
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Offline Ripsnort

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« Reply #81 on: February 06, 2005, 10:04:40 AM »
Quote
Originally posted by GScholz
I hope Iran gets the bomb.


Not surprising...


Quote

THE TEXT WICH APPEARED ON THE “SHIHAB-3” MISSILE
LAUNCHERDURING MILITARY PARADE IN TEHERAN
("HOLY DEFENSE WEEK", SEPTENBER 22)
“ISRAEL MUST BE ERADICATED FROM THE ANNALS OF HISTORY”

http://www.intelligence.org.il/eng/...hihab_11_03.htm

Offline babek-

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« Reply #82 on: February 06, 2005, 11:51:07 AM »
The last thing Iran would need, is the destruction of Israel.

It is too useful, because it keeps the traditional enemy of the iranians busy: The arabs.

There is a difference between official propaganda and the true politic.

The decisions of the iranian regime in the last 20 years should have proven this.

Offline NUKE

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« Reply #83 on: February 06, 2005, 12:02:36 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by Nash
I've prolly learned more about present-day Iran from three or four babek posts than I have from anything else.


Same with Boroda :lol

Offline NUKE

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« Reply #84 on: February 06, 2005, 12:06:18 PM »
Babek,

When did you last live in Iran?

Offline Toad

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« Reply #85 on: February 06, 2005, 12:08:04 PM »
So, the first round is denial? That really wasn't the question, was it?

Iran: IAEA Confirms Finding Weapons-Grade Uranium
Quote
The UN's nuclear watchdog has confirmed that it has found particles of highly enriched, weapons-grade uranium in environmental samples taken at an Iranian nuclear facility. Iran denies enriching the uranium itself and continues to insist that its nuclear program is only for civilian purposes.



Diplomats: Iran testing centrifuge parts
Quote
Iran is testing some parts of machines that can be used to make the fissile core of nuclear warheads, despite a pledge to freeze such activities, diplomats said Thursday. The revelations dealt a fresh blow to hopes Iran would scrap uranium enrichment.


ElBaradei Cites Progress by Iran, but Investigation Continues

Quote
Iran has admitted to testing centrifuges with nuclear material, but maintains that it only produced uranium enriched to a very low level and asserts that other types of enriched uranium particles originated from centrifuge components obtained from a procurement network run by Pakistani scientist Abdul Qadeer Khan. Iran continues to say that it does not know the origin of the components.

According to the report, several unanswered questions about the particles remain. For example, the IAEA still does not know why Iran’s domestically manufactured centrifuge components have been contaminated with a different type of enriched uranium than their imported equivalents[/ or why uranium enriched to 36 percent U-235 has been found at some facilities where imported components were located, but not at other sites.


I don't really think there's much doubt that enrichment experiments have taken place.

So, again the question, if Iran's nuclear program is for "peaceful" purposes, why the need for weapons grade uranium and the attendant extremely high costs of producing same?

Perhaps the second half of your post is closer to the truth. Iran intends to have a nuclear arsenal because they feel they need one.

Thus, you are basically admitting Iran is enriching uranium for weapons and "peaceful purposes" is merely Bullshirt.
« Last Edit: February 06, 2005, 12:40:16 PM by Toad »
If ye love wealth better than liberty, the tranquility of servitude than the animated contest of freedom, go from us in peace. We ask not your counsels or arms. Crouch down and lick the hands which feed you. May your chains sit lightly upon you, and may posterity forget that you were our countrymen!

Offline genozaur

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« Reply #86 on: February 06, 2005, 10:32:56 PM »
Toad, what would you expect when the USA allowed Israel and Pakistan to have nuclear weapons ?

Why is it that you seem to be worried exclusuvely about other countries having nuclear capabilities, but not Israel and Pakistan ?

I don't like your crooked "logic", and I don't see you to be an advocate of nuclear non-proliferation.
Actually, you look like the advocate for nuclear proliferation among several chosen countries. :D

Offline Eagler

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« Reply #87 on: February 06, 2005, 10:42:07 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by genozaur
Toad, what would you expect when the USA allowed Israel and Pakistan to have nuclear weapons ?


uhh.. maybe because they are not run by nutbag islamic cheekboness who stage "Death to America" dances in their streets...

all for allowing Israel to handle it, just like they did before with Iraq's nuclear program
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Offline Toad

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« Reply #88 on: February 06, 2005, 10:50:00 PM »
Pretty much what Eagler said.

Also, note that we "allowed" NK to have nukes in the same way you suggest that Israel and Pakistan were "allowed" to have nukes.

If it gets noticed before they have the nukes the "world" may have a chance to do something. Like with Iran's peaceful enrichment of uranium to weapons grade uranium.

If it doesn't get addressed... well then NK, Israel and Pakistan get nukes, don't they?
If ye love wealth better than liberty, the tranquility of servitude than the animated contest of freedom, go from us in peace. We ask not your counsels or arms. Crouch down and lick the hands which feed you. May your chains sit lightly upon you, and may posterity forget that you were our countrymen!

Offline beet1e

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« Reply #89 on: February 07, 2005, 03:37:24 AM »
Quote
Originally posted by Toad
Bullshirt.
That expression cracks me up! :lol


:aok