If the JU87s were not used in frame 1 .. by this I mean lets throw out all the damage they did to ground targets and also any kills on them. And instead just count what they did in the defense of Sicily and Sardinia this is what the frame might have looked like.
AXIS1450 = Air to Air Kills
715 = Ground Targets (loss of 125 pts of objects JU87s destroyed)
598 = Defense of bases
2763 = TOTAL
ALLIES705 = Air to Air Kills (loss of 375 pts for killing JU87s)
925 = Ground Targets
814 = Defense of bases (increase 125 pts for objects JU87s killed)
2444 = TOTAL
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By not using the JU87s the Axis would have had 33 planes still to deploy. They could have deployed them the same way defensively on Sardinia and Sicily. Or they could have had them a bit thinner and more escorts assigned to JU88s strikes.
The Axis even without the JU87s did attack all 3 target zones. They had assigned the 68th, III/Jabostaffel, 65th, 9 GIAP, and the DAMNED against the targets.
Plus, even taking the JU87s out the axis still hit the three target zones before T+60.
As for the allied planes being back up to alt and full ammo. In the case of A103 there were in good position and the non JU87 forces only did 19 points to the base.
A25 was hit by 42 JU88s plus escorts and 400 points garnered. The shills in JU87s tried to hit A25 .. they actually dumped on the town there for no points.
So maybe you would have had those defenders also to help against the HQ hit.
Malta was savaged by the non JU87s squads assigned to hit it. And then later by the defenders of eastern Sicily after they took care of the small attack in that region. Looks like the Allies deployed 16 Spitfires and 4 Mossies from Malta. The non JU87 attack came in 30 minutes after the JU87 attack. 5 JU87s were shot down .. so again .. not sure of the real affect of the JU87s. The definitely pulled some down to the deck and used up there ammo. But allies probably would still had a decent screen in place.
So overall the Axis might have been less successful against the ground targets. Then again they might not have been.
But looking at the numbers (doing more analysis) it actually looks like the JU87 strategy might have ended up hurting the Axis. They loss 375 points of aircraft by doing the attacks and only scored 125 points by hitting their ground targets (personally I suprised we did that much damage). So a net loss of 250 points actually based on the results.
If the Axis had gone say with maybe some 110s, little stronger escorts, or more JU88s, and then kept a large fighter force in Sardinia .. based on the above numbers .. they might have done much better in the frame.
So while the Axis strategy was an innovative attempt at dealing with the strategic issues facing them it looks like it actually hurt them slightly.