Originally posted by Viking
Somehow I have a hard time imagining that America would have surrendered without at least an invasion of the US mainland. I don’t see why the Japanese should have acted differently. By your logic the US should have surrendered in 1941; would have saved a lot of lives.
You're being silly.
Actually the situation was such that Yamamoto knew it.
Although Pearl Harbour was basically a success, it wasn't. The fuel was intact (command failiure) and the carriers were away.
After Leyte Gulf or at least Okinawa, or Tokyo being firebombed (more casualties than even Hiroshima?), the Japs should have gone to the table. They didn't. Not even after Hiroshima, and only through the emperor interveining after Nagasaki.
So...you have lots of dead for nothing, - there was for a long time no way Japan could win.
Same goes to Germany. When the enemy has the potential of razing all cities to the ground, be it day or night, it's over. Germany should have stepped down and bowed in 1943/44, - that way they might have cut a deal, and that is what many of their fines commanders realized, - thus trying to eliminate Hitler (Rommel, Stauffenberg etc).
But Germany's fanatic leaders blabbered about the final victory untill the army could take a bus between the fronts.
The biggest Darwin award therefor goes to the Nazis and the Japs.
And Hap, - Germany had not lost after the BoB, - they just played their cards wrong. Basically they had "won", and then they stepped into a deep poddle by underestimating the British, declaring war on USA, and jumping at the USSR (which was probably an unevitable conflict anyway).
IMHO, had Germany ripped the deal withJapan in1941, Made a deal with the Brits (might have worked with giving back France for instance), the USSR would not have made it. So close was it....anyway, I'll plonk that one into another thread.