Author Topic: Round 1 Exit Poll Results and Predictions Thread (Read 1412 times)

Karnak · « **Reply #15 on:** March 29, 2007, 05:09:28 PM »

Quote

Originally posted by eskimo2
Still, I wouldn't expect the Buffalo to surge ahead in the real poll/vote.

No, but the B-25's might...

Krusty · « **Reply #16 on:** March 29, 2007, 05:11:19 PM »

I don't think the ever-so-popular B-25 will be eliminated in the first round, as you suggest. It's just too popular not to survive to round 2.

Also, Pyro said he won't release the info between rounds, so as not to influence the voting.

DREDIOCK · « **Reply #17 on:** March 29, 2007, 05:13:42 PM »

Personally While I wont be foring for it
I think the P39 is going to win overall
Second will probably be either the B25 or 410

Bronk · « **Reply #18 on:** March 29, 2007, 05:30:43 PM »

If the "new" players check the wiki links..
The A-26 will win.
2 reasons.
1. A lot newbies end up in buffs(as there main ride) till they become comfortable/proficient in a fighter.
2. Fastest, heaviest gunned, and I believe heaviest payload buff in that list.

That there is a winning combo. I will not be surprised if it wins.

Bronk

tedrbr · « **Reply #19 on:** March 29, 2007, 05:33:46 PM »

Quote

Originally posted by Krusty
I don't think the ever-so-popular B-25 will be eliminated in the first round, as you suggest. It's just too popular not to survive to round 2.

Also, Pyro said he won't release the info between rounds, so as not to influence the voting.

Oh, I expect name recognition in popular poll to carry the B-25 to final 4. Pyro may not be releasing info, but we'll be seeing which 4 planes get cut in the first round.

Those first 4 out will tell a lot about the general online player population that are voting. For example: If G.55, which has a decently large, informed following in the forums, gets cut in first round will mean that most players are uninformed, unmitigated, idiot lemmings, and final selection will be lame.

It will be the P-39.

Krusty · « **Reply #20 on:** March 29, 2007, 05:39:09 PM »

Perhaps it will be as you say.

I'm holding out for something non-P-39, but if that *is* what we get, so be it!

Bronk · « **Reply #21 on:** March 29, 2007, 05:41:07 PM »

Quote

Originally posted by tedrbr
Oh, I expect name recognition in popular poll to carry the B-25 to final 4. Pyro may not be releasing info, but we'll be seeing which 4 planes get cut in the first round.

Those first 4 out will tell a lot about the general online player population that are voting. For example: If G.55, which has a decently large, informed following in the forums, gets cut in first round will mean that most players are uninformed, unmitigated, idiot lemmings, and final selection will be lame.

It will be the P-39.

So what are you saying because a person if fond of a particular AC he's an "idiot lemming"?

Bronk

tedrbr · « **Reply #22 on:** March 29, 2007, 05:44:08 PM »

Quote

Originally posted by Bronk
If the "new" players check the wiki links..
The A-26 will win.
2 reasons.
1. A lot newbies end up in buffs(as there main ride) till they become comfortable/proficient in a fighter.
2. Fastest, heaviest gunned, and I believe heaviest payload in that list.

That there is a winning combo. I will not be surprised if it wins.

Bronk

No links in the MoTD pop up voting clipboard though. Not with My game at any rate. No descriptions of the planes. Most players not in these boards. They log in, vote window pops up, they pick what they recognize from the list...... something they saw in a movie once.

First round is an uninformed popular vote at best; which is why I think G.55 will be one of those cut in first round. Maybe some of those players will look at the planes a little closer by the second vote. Maybe.

I'd be surprised if ANY bomber wins a popular vote. It will be an American fighter, the P-39. My vote was Invader, but I've lobbied for that for a while now on the grounds buff drivers need another perk ride. G.55 would have been second choice. Yak or P-39 third. Pe-2, Tu-2, and Me-410.... any would be nice too, but in a popular online vote? No prayer.... especially up against name recognition of B-25 and He-111.

Final Four will be P-39, He-111, B-25, and one other (which I'm not prepared to predict now).

Pyro · « **Reply #23 on:** March 29, 2007, 06:47:35 PM »

Quote

Originally posted by tedrbr
If G.55, which has a decently large, informed following in the forums, gets cut in first round will mean that most players are uninformed, unmitigated, idiot lemmings, and final selection will be lame.

Quote

Originally posted by tedrbr
My vote was Invader, but I've lobbied for that for a while now on the grounds buff drivers need another perk ride.

I would say the first part was uncalled for, but the second part does kind of make it funny.

tedrbr · « **Reply #24 on:** March 29, 2007, 06:51:45 PM »

Quote

Originally posted by Pyro
I would say the first part was uncalled for, but the second part does kind of make it funny.

Sorry Pyro. My apologies.

But the sentiment behind it remains: I fear the majority of the players of AHII, those that don't participate in the forums, or have a historical knowledge of WWII planes, won't now enough about the listed planes to make an informed decision.

It will come down to an uninformed popular vote based on name recognition.

Ack-Ack · « **Reply #25 on:** March 29, 2007, 06:54:58 PM »

Quote

Originally posted by eskimo2
Well, it is still early. However, based on the results so far I’d say the Buffalo, B-25, Yak-3 and Japanese fighter stand a poor chance of even making it to Round 3. The P-39, G.55 and M3 410 stand a good chance of making it to round 3; I’d even bet that one of them will win.

Besides, you can use Krusty Math for any irregularities.

ack-ack

eskimo2 · « **Reply #26 on:** March 29, 2007, 07:22:36 PM »

While I would agree that the average Main arena player is somewhat less informed on plane types than the average BBS poster, I wouldn’t say that they are all clueless. I’d bet that there is a leaning bell shaped curve in each group; the BBS curve is probably leaning a bit more toward the informed. I’m sure that there are many silent folks who know much more than the vast majority of us. Loud does not equal bright.

I would also say that there is some merit to only recognizing well known planes; people play Aces High partially to dive into history. What happened is more important than what could have happened. History was written about the planes that were there, not the ones that weren’t. The Shinden would be pretty cool and uber; but talk about being too uber, too late, too few and just not mattering…

tedrbr · « **Reply #27 on:** March 29, 2007, 07:29:50 PM »

I hope your right about the number of informed players in the war arenas, eskimo2, and I'm wrong. Maybe monitoring the Help Channel in Arenas all this time has me jaded.

The first four planes that are cut will tell volumes though.

eskimo2 · « **Reply #28 on:** March 29, 2007, 07:46:27 PM »

Well, just look at how diversified the opinions and votes of BBS posters has been. We consider ourselves “informed”, but all want a variety of planes. There are many good, valid reasons to want any plane on the list.

hubsonfire · « **Reply #29 on:** March 29, 2007, 09:05:56 PM »

I almost voted for the A-26, but I think it's in the same realm as the G55. Sure it may be neat, but it didn't really contribute.

I voted yak because Yaks are uber, and I figured the B-25 and P-39 were going to get enough votes of their own accord. I expect one of those 2 to win, but I won't be terribly upset regardless. I just wasn't going to support a few planes that I wasn't interested in at all, and hoped enough spare Yak votes would push the undesirables out of the running early.