Author Topic: Hard headed? A question about the war in Iraq  (Read 1148 times)

Offline x0847Marine

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Hard headed? A question about the war in Iraq
« Reply #45 on: May 03, 2007, 01:32:22 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by clerick
Gay marriage!


The Bush / Cheney relationship?

Offline lazs2

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Hard headed? A question about the war in Iraq
« Reply #46 on: May 03, 2007, 02:15:47 PM »
The whole world needs to deal with these people sooner or later.

They aren't doing so now because they are far too weak.... hazzer isn't going to jump in with the worlds 28th largest army for instance.

We are doing it because we are the only ones who can.    The rest of the dying socialist countries are just pretending that they could do something if they really wanted to.

We all know tho that no matter what.. they are powerless.  They know they are not just powerless in the middle east but at home...if they speak up their growing muslim populations might get angry and there will be nothing they can do about it...  Their people and military personnel will get kidnapped and bombs will explode and...

They won't be able to do a thing...

Soooo... their impotent opinion means nothing.

lazs

Offline FLS

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Hard headed? A question about the war in Iraq
« Reply #47 on: May 03, 2007, 02:49:29 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by Nilsen
Yup.. its alot better to let the generals run the show un-checked and just give them the funding they need. The media is really just a pain, and one can clearly see that if the cameras had been turned off then the insurgants, terrorists, criminals, rebels and freedomfighters in Iraq would have stopped fighting back and the war would have been won.

Yup.. it should have been done the Soviet way!

;)


Terrorism is a useless tactic without media cooperation.

The freedom fighters in Iraq are on our side.

Most of Iraq is stable and peaceful but the media isn't reporting that for some reason.

Offline clerick

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Hard headed? A question about the war in Iraq
« Reply #48 on: May 03, 2007, 03:21:54 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by Hazzer
Are you honestly trying to tell me that the problems in Iraq are all caused by outsiders,your independece was rightly supported by outsiders,anyone who hated the British in fact.The French in particular,and as for fighting for freedom,only for white Americans if I recall.


Using that, i would place America in a role more similar to that of France in the revolutionary war then the British Empire.  We are supporting a liberation not oppressing.

Offline tedrbr

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Hard headed? A question about the war in Iraq
« Reply #49 on: May 03, 2007, 03:25:51 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by clerick
The insurgents in Iraq are for the most part NOT Iraqi.  They are Sirian, Iranian, Al Queda.  They are flooding INTO Iraq, hence the insurgent label, to fight Americans becauase they see us as "the great satan".  They are not fighting for Iraq in the same way we are.  They are fighting in hopes of conquring.  If we pull out before fixing this issue Iraq will be no better off then it was, in fact it is reasonable to assume that it wil be far worse.


Where'd you get that particular TTP?  It is overly simplistic and plain wrong.
As to the definition of an insurgent
Quote
"An insurgency is an armed rebellion by any irregular armed force that rises up against an established authority, government, or administration. Those carrying out an insurgency are insurgents . Insurgents conduct sabotage and harassment. Insurgents usually are in opposition to a civil authority or government primarily in the hope of improving their condition."


The INSURGENTS in Iraq are generally Iraqi, and more often than not pro-Baathists or support the old regime, or at least Sunnis that want to still dominate Iraq over the Shiaa' and Kurds, or afraid of being dominated by them in a new Iraq.  Others are simply fighting against what they see as an occupation (which it is, they just mad enough to do something about it). The Insurgents target other Iraqis as much, if not more, than they target coalition forces, especially the Iraqi police and Iraqi military.  They operate very randomly at times.

Foreign Fighters, al Qaida in Iraq, Terrorists, and such are most often foreign fighters coming in from other nations (but supplemented by some local recruits)  to fight Americans and disrupt work to rebuild Iraq.  They make up by far some of the smallest numbers in Iraq, but have some of the greatest impact due to their determination, tactics, and PR campaigns in the fight.  They cause the most damage on a per-person basis to collision forces.

The various MILITIAS support whoever they are following.  Their first loyalty is not national in nature.  They fight each other, the coalition, the government, even against foreign fighters/terrorists. There are a lot of them and they are everywhere in some form or another.  Some militia members operate among the Iraqi military and police forces.

The DEATH SQUADS come from various groups and organizations, many of them controlled by the Iraqi government or political parties within that government or the militias.  Some operate within the military and police forces.  They go after who they are told to go after.  These are more Iraqi fighting Iraqi in an ongoing play for power and control over Iraq's future.

ORGANIZED CRIME got a big boost when 400,000+ soldiers, sailors, and airmen of the Iraqi military (many armed thugs to begin with) were fired en mass in 2003.  They are responsible for much of the hijackings and kidnappings across Iraq.  Most of the bodies I saw floating down the Tigres River past Abu Newas that had been shot in the head were kidnapped victims whose families would/could not pay for their ransom to these groups.   In 2003 and 2004 these groups were hijacking KBR convoys, and may still be.

IRANIAN operatives.  From actual combatants to arms smugglers, intelligence operatives, and those attempting to influence the political parties in Iraq.  Iran is operating at many levels to disrupt Iraq, as a stable Iraq friendly to western nations is not in Iran's best interests.


And none of this includes all the tribal and clan wars that are taking place.  Lot's of old grudges have come back to the surface and old scores are being settled across Iraq.

A lot of people have a very narrow and simple view of what is going on in Iraq.  It is a far more complex and complicated set of problems than what most people can imagine or understand.
Most of the combatants in Iraq (outside of the U.S. coalition) are in fact Iraqi.  There are sizable numbers of foreign fighters, true, and they cause a lot of problems due to their training, tactics, determination.... but their numbers are small compared to the others.

There are 3,000 to 4,000 Iraqis dying violently every month in Iraq from many fronts.
« Last Edit: May 03, 2007, 03:47:25 PM by tedrbr »

Offline RedTop

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Hard headed? A question about the war in Iraq
« Reply #50 on: May 03, 2007, 04:19:48 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by rpm
Agreed.  


:aok :D

I am awaiting your answer to Lazs tho. Not to nitpick...but I am to interested. Not only in your opinion...but others as well.

Funny.....My wife and I were talking the other evening about tons of stuff. (we do that alot and it's always good).....but she said something that kind of struck me.....

She said I am getting more and more narrow minded the older I get. Her and I share the same outlook on almost everything. Kind of funny she said that.
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Offline Seagoon

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Hard headed? A question about the war in Iraq
« Reply #51 on: May 03, 2007, 05:02:43 PM »
Gunthr,

The idea that an end to Islamic terror attacks and lasting peace could be achieved in Iraq, and throughout the Middle East via the overthrow of the governments of Afghanistan and Iraq and a truncated occupation of both countries wasn't realistic from the start. Our problem was never merely a leader or a government, be it Saddam and his Baathists or Mullah Omar and the Taliban. Our problem is with an ideology that transcends borders and will not be satisfied with anything less than the total defeat of the nations and peoples of the Dar-El-Harb.

The war in Iraq is not going to put an end to this: http://www.pmw.org.il/asx/PMW_AhmadBahr200407.asx

(Personally I thought he was off his mark that day, the above wasn't nearly as lyrical as his earlier speech: "Oh Allah, vanquish the Jews and their supporters. Oh Allah, vanquish the Americans and their supporters. Oh Allah, count their numbers, and kill them all, down to the very last one. Oh Allah, show them a day of darkness. Oh Allah, who sent down His Book, the mover of the clouds, who defeated the enemies of the Prophet – defeat the Jews and the Americans, and bring us victory over them." - PA Speaker Ahmed Bahr, speaking in Sudan, April 13, 2007.)

But that's just one example among thousands...

Do we plan to deal with this via successive invasions and occupations of Iran, Sudan, Syria, Pakistan, Yemen, Lebanon, etc. etc. and then reinvasions of Iraq and Afghanistan after we leave and the Jihadis overthrow the client governments we abandon?

Either we get serious about confronting and replacing the ideology rather than trying to kill the never ending supply of foot soldiers one by one or we accept that we will eventually lose. At present all we seem to be doing is reacting militarily, I have yet to see anything close to a strategy for winning the broader war, which is being waged everywhere from Europe to Thailand.

Sorry to be a bummer, but I think it's high time we abandoned the concept that either staying in Iraq or "redeploying" out of Iraq is the magic key to "peace in our time."

- SEAGOON
SEAGOON aka Pastor Andy Webb
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Offline RedTop

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Hard headed? A question about the war in Iraq
« Reply #52 on: May 03, 2007, 05:28:49 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by Seagoon
Gunthr,

The idea that an end to Islamic terror attacks and lasting peace could be achieved in Iraq, and throughout the Middle East via the overthrow of the governments of Afghanistan and Iraq and a truncated occupation of both countries wasn't realistic from the start. Our problem was never merely a leader or a government, be it Saddam and his Baathists or Mullah Omar and the Taliban. Our problem is with an ideology that transcends borders and will not be satisfied with anything less than the total defeat of the nations and peoples of the Dar-El-Harb.

The war in Iraq is not going to put an end to this: http://www.pmw.org.il/asx/PMW_AhmadBahr200407.asx

(Personally I thought he was off his mark that day, the above wasn't nearly as lyrical as his earlier speech: "Oh Allah, vanquish the Jews and their supporters. Oh Allah, vanquish the Americans and their supporters. Oh Allah, count their numbers, and kill them all, down to the very last one. Oh Allah, show them a day of darkness. Oh Allah, who sent down His Book, the mover of the clouds, who defeated the enemies of the Prophet – defeat the Jews and the Americans, and bring us victory over them." - PA Speaker Ahmed Bahr, speaking in Sudan, April 13, 2007.)

But that's just one example among thousands...

Do we plan to deal with this via successive invasions and occupations of Iran, Sudan, Syria, Pakistan, Yemen, Lebanon, etc. etc. and then reinvasions of Iraq and Afghanistan after we leave and the Jihadis overthrow the client governments we abandon?

Either we get serious about confronting and replacing the ideology rather than trying to kill the never ending supply of foot soldiers one by one or we accept that we will eventually lose. At present all we seem to be doing is reacting militarily, I have yet to see anything close to a strategy for winning the broader war, which is being waged everywhere from Europe to Thailand.

Sorry to be a bummer, but I think it's high time we abandoned the concept that either staying in Iraq or "redeploying" out of Iraq is the magic key to "peace in our time."

- SEAGOON


Hi Andy,

Nice write up. Be nice if the twits in power in D.C. could think with the same common sense.
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Offline Gunthr

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Hard headed? A question about the war in Iraq
« Reply #53 on: May 03, 2007, 06:28:37 PM »
Quote
The idea that an end to Islamic terror attacks and lasting peace could be achieved in Iraq, and throughout the Middle East via the overthrow of the governments of Afghanistan and Iraq and a truncated occupation of both countries wasn't realistic from the start. Our problem was never merely a leader or a government, be it Saddam and his Baathists or Mullah Omar and the Taliban. Our problem is with an ideology that transcends borders and will not be satisfied with anything less than the total defeat of the nations and peoples of the Dar-El-Harb. - Seagoon


i agree with you Seagoon.  it looks like there were unrealistic or naive assumptions made early on, particularly about nation building, which is hard enough, but even harder - democratic nation building in the middle of a sea of fundemental Islam.  Iraq was stable under Saddam.  

We thought we could replace him with a new democratic Iraqi government to fill the power vaccum and a stable, secure, American-friendly government would be the result, powered by, and assuring the free flow of, black gold.  

it proved to be very very hard to achieve.   and worse, they appear to have over-estimated the will of the American people and thier willingness to take casualties to achieve this on the other side of the world.

I also agree with your view of what our real enemy is: the ideology held by the Islamists, who would attack, in perpetuity, any democratic government in Iraq seen as a puppet government for America.

(i almost think there would be a better chance of a stable Iraqi government if there was a quick and brutal coup d'etat by non-Al Qaeda Iraqis who would sieze power from the current Iraqi government which would then not be seen as a USA puppet.)

Anyway Seagoon, my point is that we are there, things are the way they are.  Iraq may or may not be getting more secure.   Iran is getting very nasty, and closer to nuclear weapons.  Israelis are fingering their own weapons, waiting and watching, and Americans are getting ready to go to the polls.  

The question is: What do we do now?

Throw away a strategic position, or presence, that has already been paid for in precious blood and bales of money?  Let the collossal cave-in happen when we leave, providing a new safe haven for al qaeda, who's number one goal is to push Americans out of Iraq and then claim victory over America? I don't think so.

I could see a decision to relieve our military of the nation building and rely on the CIA for whatever can be acomplished in that area.  withdraw American volunteer soldiers to hardened, heavily defended areas or compounds around Iraq, but away from residential or governmental areas from which they could deploy as necessary to support whatever stakeholder government is there.  a low profile, far less photo ops, and no more patrolling.  let the contractors provide there own protection with help from the Iraqis.  we would provide services for whatever Iraqi stakeholder government is in place, maybe oil facility security, whatever.   in exchange, we have a base in the middle east.

not forever maybe, but for the time being.

Gunthr

(edited to add reference to Israel)
« Last Edit: May 03, 2007, 06:47:44 PM by Gunthr »
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Offline Gunthr

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Hard headed? A question about the war in Iraq
« Reply #54 on: May 03, 2007, 06:44:10 PM »
Quote
Either we get serious about confronting and replacing the ideology rather than trying to kill the never ending supply of foot soldiers one by one or we accept that we will eventually lose. At present all we seem to be doing is reacting militarily, I have yet to see anything close to a strategy for winning the broader war, which is being waged everywhere from Europe to Thailand. - Seagoon


I can't agree with you here Seagoon.  I think the idea of "confronting and replacing" the Islamist ideology is pie in the sky.

Confronting Islamists is obviously possible.  We kill them where we find them.  But the idea of replacing Islamist ideology with another one is just not possible, if you think about it.

What could happen is that being an Islamist could become a trait not favored by nature...  you know, not conducive to long life, survival and procreation? ;)

Could you clarify?
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Offline Seagoon

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Hard headed? A question about the war in Iraq
« Reply #55 on: May 03, 2007, 11:14:58 PM »
Hi Gunthr,

Let me answer your second question first, because a) I'm exhausted b) I already have a prepared answer from an earlier thread. I'll give your earlier question about Iraq in particular some more thought and see what little I can come up with...

Quote
Originally posted by Gunthr
I can't agree with you here Seagoon.  I think the idea of "confronting and replacing" the Islamist ideology is pie in the sky.

Confronting Islamists is obviously possible.  We kill them where we find them.  But the idea of replacing Islamist ideology with another one is just not possible, if you think about it.

What could happen is that being an Islamist could become a trait not favored by nature...  you know, not conducive to long life, survival and procreation? ;)

Could you clarify?


Gunthr, actually its confronting and neutralizing them militarily that is impossible for a number of reasons not the least of which as I mentioned earlier, there is "always more where that came from." Afghanistan is a perfect case in point. Jihadis cross the border from Pakistan, go to prepared weapons caches in safe villages, conduct attacks or attrocities and then if they can be caught while armed and in the act, are either despatched by coalition forces or captured and most likely, released.  Even if they are martyred (which is after all the point for them) the Masjids and Madrassas just across the border are busily training their replacements selected from a generation that has known nothing but brutality and Sharia for as long as they've been alive. For Americans, our soldiers being killed is reason to withdraw, for Jihadis, Shaheeds being martyred is recruiting poster material. Every martyrdom video (complete with a catchy music track) shown on the net or circulated on DVDs produces scores of new recruits.

So how can we confront the Ideology that produces them? Well I believe we could begin to do that by at least "leveling the playing field." Here are 5 suggestions from a previous thread. Tell me if you find any of them to be unreasonable:

1) Stop misdefining the problem as "terrorism" - no one dies for terrorism, terrorism is a means, not a movement or an end. We cannot defeat terrorism any more than we can defeat "bombs."

If we are unwilling to critically examine Islam, so be it, lets at least define the problem more accurately and precisely as "Jihadism" - Jihad is also a means to an end, but at least people are actually signing up to be Jihadis or Shaheeds and we are actually fighting an ideological orientation that way.

2) Identify the ideologies that accept, encourage, or promote "Jihadism" as unacceptable and the enemies of freedom. This will mean that we are saying Wahabbism and Salafism are unacceptable. Indicate that we will do all that we can to suppress and eliminate those ideologies where we can. This will mean banning the importation of Wahhabbi media (books, tapes, videos) into our countries, deporting Wahabbi Imams, and closing down Maddrassas and Masjids that teach those doctrines.

3) Refuse to allow countries that do not allow freedom of religion in their own nations to build houses of worship, sponsor clergy, or send in religious materials. Make it clear that until non-Muslims are allowed to freely practice their religions in Saudi Arabia and build houses of worship, the Saudis may not pour money into the construction of Islamic centers in the USA or Europe. Deny visas to citizens of those countries coming in to serve as Imams, if they would deny visas to missionaries trying to enter their own country. Deport foriegn Imams who try to get around the rules by entering under false pretenses (and yes, they also do that to missionaries - and worse - in their own countries).

4) Indicate that in order to qualify as being "our friends" you will also have to reject and work against Wahabbism and Salafism. This will mean, for instance, that we will no longer accept the Pakistanis tolerating or encouraging Jihadist Masjids, Maddrassas, and training camps on their side of the border. Indicate that if they will not cooperate in closing them down permanently, we will take military action against those training centers proven to be sending Jihadis in ourselves.

5) Stop affording Islam "specially protected status" in our societies. Even the playing field. If people can ridicule Christianity, why should Islam be any different? If Muslims can proselytize without it being a "hate crime", evangelizing Muslims should not be a hate crime either.

Those are just a few that I can think of off the top of my head, note that all of them are simply applying the same rules that westerners have to play by in the Isalmic world to Islam.

It's my belief that if their society were as religiously open as ours, that Islam could not compete and would begin to wither. Sharia law however, keeps it artificially protected. The Quran, for instance, could not withstand the same level of higher critical scrutiny the bible has been subjected to for 200 years in the West for a moment without complete collapse.
« Last Edit: May 03, 2007, 11:17:49 PM by Seagoon »
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Offline tedrbr

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Hard headed? A question about the war in Iraq
« Reply #56 on: May 03, 2007, 11:21:08 PM »
Have to agree with Gunthr on this one.  You are not going to replace Islamic ideology with (I'm betting here...waitforit....waitforti t....) Christianity in that region.  Any overt attempt to do so will just instill greater jihad among the populations.  Not happening.  They still haven't forgiven the west for the Crusades, much less European Imperial Colonialism.

Islam is the new Communism.  It's well entrenched in that area.  It's presented more often than not as a Patriarchy that reduces women to 2nd class status, or even property status.  It is spreading among poor nations.  It's spreading among disenfranchised minorities in wealthier nations.  It is being spread as a religion of no tolerance (which is against some of it's actual teachings).

At it's core among those spreading the Islamic faith (to those that can't read the Koran themselves especially) is an Anti-west, Anti-American, Anti-Israel theme over and over.  A hijacked and corrupted religion spread by a desire to hurt others.  Us against Them.

You take a guy living in poverty; mud hut, eats 3 times a week, has an ugly goat and an even uglier wife.  Show him "this" as the road to paradise --- what has he got to lose.  Take a young poor kid, drug him up, toss him to a prostitute, and when he comes around you tell him that was paradise and a perpetual virgin:  to go there again, he only need strap on this bomb and take a few infidels with him when he goes boom.  Easy sell.

If we did not have strategic national interests in the Middle East (oil), we could withdraw and I'd expect infighting and power grabs would cut the problems down to size...... but we are tied to a "stable" Middle East and it's oil.  So long as they have big external enemies to focus on, they won't kill each other off (at least not in great numbers).  I think with the level of bloodletting that the different factions in the region could bring between themselves could eventually "burn out" the fundamental extremism, but that does not keep the oil flowing.

And as long as Islamic fundamentalists have external enemies of the west present in the Middle East that they can focus their hate on, you won't see a reduction in the numbers of fanatics.


There is no real solution in the foreseeable future.  None.
This will probably dominate and define the 21st Century.
« Last Edit: May 04, 2007, 12:05:26 AM by tedrbr »

Offline Silat

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Re: Re: Re: Hard headed? A question about the war in Iraq
« Reply #57 on: May 04, 2007, 04:47:58 AM »
Quote
Originally posted by RedTop
possibly....or maybe even the wrong Senate and House of Reps to. Bad CIA director. Bad intel. Bad government.

Maybe if those with the means to do so even before the Iraq war would have enforced things like they were supposed to , things would have been different still? Possibly never came to where we are now?

Here's a novel Idea....how about when countries say they are going to do something to the world community , they are held accountable if they don't? Nahhh...that wouldn't be good.

Perhaps all those Libs that voted for the war  , that are now in power and want the war over by yesterday , just grow some friggin nuts and cut funding. Instead of playing politics. How about they DO THIER jobs instead of being wusses and crying about it. Then we won't have to worry about them being elected next election.


Because they dont have the votes to cut funding Red. You need 67 to override a Cheney veto.
So the reps still control the agenda.
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Offline Odee

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Re: Re: Hard headed? A question about the war in Iraq
« Reply #58 on: May 04, 2007, 05:07:37 AM »
Quote
Originally posted by rpm
We had the wrong leader.

Leaders.  Plural.  As in Congress, the Senate, and the White House.  The situation in leadership only got worse after the last election.

We have no Generals capable, or willing to tell the civilians to bugger off and untie the military's hands.  Most became politicians during peace times just to keep the military alive, and lost the skill to run a war effectively.

Think back to Viet Nam, when the White House, and the rest of the politicians ran the war.  We were carpet bombing the very country we were trying to defend, instead of going North... all because the politicians thought they knew how best to fight the war.

Same thing in Iraq, only now the media doesn't report news... it distorts it for their ratings sake.  And the average sheep.. uh citizen believes the media's biased pov.  Toss in the talking heads, and our own anti-American politicians, (you know, those same idiots you keep voting into office term after term?) and you get a situation like we have now.

Saddly, we went in not fully understanding the mind of the middle easterner.  Equally sad is the fact that the average middle easterner mind is stuck in medieveal times with Sectarian leadership, which only understands greater force as a sign to be respected.

Get rid of the Sectarian rivalry, and you can have peace.  If we pull out, tuck tail and run, we'll only be telling them that we are weak, and deserve to be attacked again as on 9-11.  Only the next time, and there will be a next time, the attack is going to take out far more than 9-11 did.

We either show strength their way, or tie our hands and pray they will learn tolerance of non-Islamists...  And learning tolerance, my friends, is one thing they will never do.
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Offline tedrbr

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Re: Re: Re: Hard headed? A question about the war in Iraq
« Reply #59 on: May 04, 2007, 03:36:15 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by Odee
Leaders.  Plural.  As in Congress, the Senate, and the White House.  The situation in leadership only got worse after the last election.

Very true.  Although CIC, you can't blame everything on 1 man, even if that 1 man is prone to surrounding himself with "yes-men", there is a lot of input from many sides that is supposed to go into decisions like this.

Quote
We have no Generals capable, or willing to tell the civilians to bugger off and untie the military's hands.  Most became politicians during peace times just to keep the military alive, and lost the skill to run a war effectively.[/B]

Flag Rank has far more to do with politics than military abilities just to get to those positions (Congress has to give it's okie dokey), and modern technology and media has everyone looking over your shoulder in real time.  You can't get a capable General into position most times, and even if you could, he'd never be allowed to operate effectively.  

Quote
Sadly, we went in not fully understanding the mind of the middle easterner.  Equally sad is the fact that the average middle easterner mind is stuck in medieval times with Sectarian leadership, which only understands greater force as a sign to be respected.[/B]

A lot of truth to this.  Part of the reason Warlords and tribal chieftons still carry so much power in influence in that part of the world. It's part of the reason militias are so prevalent.  Western ideals are alien to their way of thinking, as much as their ways are often alien to us.
We'd have been much better off putting a military leader in charge of Iraq's rebuilding, created a secure and stable environment, and left the "Constitutional" Committee work everything out in their own good time, instead of forcing a quick Constitution through (in no small part due to an impatient American Congress) which led a a very weak central government in Iraq, that (surprise, surprise) can't pull a divided people together.

Instead the great panacea solution to everything was "elections" and "freedom" as fast as could be managed.  A quickie-microwave-constitution.  

Seems to be an ongoing exercise on how we can continuously set ourselves and our allies up for failure.