I disagree with what you think he meant. Clearly, his post said this...
Another war.....IF it does.
Implied cause for the stated effect. He clearly means that we would go to war somewhere else if oil reached over 200$ per barrel. Unfortunately, too many people here believe wars help battered economies. (ask the Japanese how that worked out for THEM) Until this changes, the same thought will pervade.
What I implied would be that $200 a barrel would trigger another war. I never said it would be started by the US.
Moray, you should look past the end of your nose and realize that the big ole mean and evil US does not need to start a war for their to be another war. Take a look at whats going on in South Ostetia. If you think that war is about liberating a bunch of poor souls from evil and oppressive Georgia, you are really fooling yourself. That little war is about nothing but a pipeline.
Why do you suppose Iran is persisting in Uranium enrichment? It's about power to them. With a nuke, their option increase 100 fold. They can then easily close the Straits of Hormuz and again hold the world to ransom whenever their islamofacist leaders want to.
What would $200/barrel oil mean in the US? What do you suppose diesel will cost then? $7 or $8 a gallon? How many companies will fold because they can no longer sell their products or services? Just what do you suppose will happen in the US when people can not afford to eat and a large majority of people are forced out on the streets because they can not pay for what they have? You really think that they might just pat ole Mr. Change on the back? Their will be outright open conflict here in our streets. People will kill each other if it means survival.
One last thing for you to think about. Take another look at all this from a financial aspect, and figure in another important factor. The amount of American debt that is owned by Foreign Banks, Investment Houses and Foreign Funds. If this economy were to collapse, how do you suppose they might feel about that? I can guarantee they aren't going to be all smiles. Their belief in America's ability to recover was what led most of them to buy up this debt to begin with. A collapse will render their investments worthless.