I am one of the Alpha Testers over at World of Planes.......... and the handful of people that might decide to go there from here would be those that have not transitioned well from FA or from wwiionline - ONLY !
some people think you must have magnificant graphics in order to have awesome gameplay....... this is where most people who have this belief fails......
If anything, one might see an increase of players to AH once WoP goes on the market, only due to the difference in the games environment........ probably those that flew FA or wwiionline, perhaps..... but noone knows this or how it will be......
You're exactly right. I've made this point once in the past, but look at the example of another famous MMO (Aces High is an MMO btw, just not an MMORPG), Everquest. Until World of Warcraft came out, every time a competitor to Everquest hit the market, it stole customers from Everquest for a month at most, then many more than those who left returned a short time later.
It seems that the people who left to play "EQ-competitor-whose-name-is-no-longer-even-remembered-X", told everyone there how much better Everquest was, and when their 30 free days was up, returned to Everquest with a bunch of new friends. The EQ devs even commented that they welcomed and look forward to competition "stealing" their customers, because every time a company did so they doubled their subscription numbers within six months (or something along those lines, I don't remember the actual figures any more, but it was substantial).
The same thing should happen for Aces High. EQ had lesser graphics but superior gameplay. So will Aces High compared to World of Planes. Of course the "gotcha" in my example is World of Warcraft. When a truely superior game comes out, Aces High is screwed. But I see no indication World of Planes is that game.