Will the free-falling 8.5 ton Chinese space station crash into lower Michigan?

[ghi]

....Experts say that the state falls among 'the highest probability'  "

"It is believed China's first prototype station, Tiangong-1, will come crashing back to the planet around April 3, experts say.

US research organization Aerospace Corporation revealed that parts of southern Lower Michigan are among the regions that have the highest probability of being hit by falling debris, according to MLive.com.  "


http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-5486985/Lower-Michigan-crash-site-falling-Chinese-space-station.html

 I put a new roof on my house and insurance doesn't cover low tech chinese flying junk.

 

[SPKmes]

over here they are saying it could hit us...New zealand..... just goes to show they have no idea at all    hahahha

[Zimme83]

No its  not certain where it will come down yet, ist april 3rd +/- 1 week.....

[Meatwad]

Dailymail is about as trustworthy as getting your news from a magic 8 ball

[zack1234]

They had a article and the American moon landings, they are know for making these thngs up.

Moon landings, everyone knows the moon is a projection and is switched off every morning.

Has North Korea invaded yet? Oh yes they have not,

[Meatwad]

Dailymail is the brit version of daily sun and weekly world news combined 

Dailymail said Batboy lives in Ipswitch and shares a flat with Elvis and the missing alien from Area 51 

[BuckShot]

Maybe it will hit a deserted section of Detroit.

[Volron]

Maybe it will hit a deserted section of Detroit.

From what some folks from there have told me, it could probably hit ANY part, and it would either not make a difference, or actually IMPROVE the place. 

[Zimme83]

The space station weighs just 8.5 tonnes, which is much less than for ex the fuel tanks of the space shuttle, which also made uncontrolled reentries. It is more a proof of concept than a space station.
 It orbits the earth in 90 mins so naturally its hard to predict the exact spot of reentry. Even +/- 30 mins means that the area covers 2/3 Rd's of the globe..

[zack1234]

What’s Sweden like

Is it like IKEA?

[Oldman731]

Maybe it will hit a deserted section of Detroit.

Well, that's a good, big target.

- oldman

[Maverick]

I nominate either Chicago, Detroit or san fancisco to receive the toss......

[The Fugitive]

No its  not certain where it will come down yet, ist april 3rd +/- 1 week.....

Who wants to bet they will narrow that window down to April 1st?

[BoilerDown]

Unless its in a very particular orbit, if they don't know when to a lot more precision than a day, they don't know where.  Any guessing is just clickbait based on naming a place we've heard of and would be concerned about and that happens to fall in the right latitude.

[Skuzzy]

Without a controlled re-entry, there is no way to know exactly where it will land until it is completely plunged into the atmosphere.

Controlled re-entry plunges the object into the atmosphere at a specific point which allows easy calculations to place where the object will land with a greater degree of accuracy.

The reason we cannot calculate where a free falling object will land is because we really do not know exactly where the atmosphere ends and space starts.  The accepted Karman line, at 62 miles above sea level, is the best approximation, but that is what it is, an approximation.