I think the mortality rates are skewed because most got medical care.
If it sweeps across a country, many will not be able to get medical care and the rate goes up.
There just aren't enough beds.
Good point. Mortality rates across China are being reported at 2%. Those areas have not been saturated and sick people can still get access to medical care.
In Wuhan reports are around 4.9%. That may be because systems have been saturated and there is not enough care to go around leading to higher death rates.
I wouldn't be surprised if both numbers are 3 times higher than reported.
I saw somewhere there are teams now in Wuhan checking the locked apartments for the dead. People have locked themselves up in their apartments for weeks. They probably don't know yet how many are moldering behind closed doors. I wonder if they are using cadaver dogs.
The first US case of unknown origin has been identified.
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/02/26/dow-futures-fall-after-microsoft-issues-coronavirus-warning.html Yesterday Germany announce that most of it's cases can't be trace back to any identifiable point of origin.
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/02/26/coronavirus-latest-updates.htmlThat's a bad thing. These people had not traveled to China nor have been in direct contact with someone who has. If you can't trace back to an identifiable point of origin, then you have no idea how its spreading so you can take no steps to stop it. However it happened is probably still happening, infecting more.
Containment is over. That cat is out of the bag. There is no locus to quarantine any more. The enemy is within the wire. The only thing the protocols do now is hopefully slow the spread enough to run out the clock until a vaccine can be developed, tested, approved, manufactured, distributed, and administered. That could be 18-24 months from now. We are only at the very, very beginning.
There will be a slow down once hot weather arrives, but don't let them tell you it's over until they inject you with a vaccine that's been proven effective.