Containment is over. We are in the mitigation phase. Try and slow it enough to buy time for a vaccine that is still a long ways off.
A very intelligent discussion:
He made some points that kinda shoot down my hope about the S. Korea number.
The key is to hold it back enough to not overload the hospital system. Once people can't get intensive care, the death rates will skyrocket.
The bad new is, there are not enough hospital beds for whats coming. Certainly not in ICU's. Not even in the ballpark.
Indoor stadiums and cots are the only solution I see. It's not like people are going to want to go to games once the dying starts.
And anyone who organizes a political rally from this point on, is being criminally negligent. Tens of thousands of strangers packed in shoulder to shoulder screaming and chanting and spewing droplets all over each other? Insane. The fact that this is going to hit during a Presidential season is just another feather on the black swan.
So, the doctor above was saying we will see probably 1% fatality rate. Another virologist I read suggests the mathematical models predict 70% of population exposure rate before a vaccine is available.
330 mil US population * 70% * 1% = 2,320,000. That number can't possibly be right.
330 mil US population * 50% * 0.5% = 825,000. That number can't possibly be right.
If the numbers are even close to 100k our markets and economy will be a smoking hole in the ground. Things will grind to a halt.
I'm with DmonSlyr. I'm going to put my head in the sand, and choose to believe there will only be 100 deaths and it will all be over by the end of the month. That will make me feel better.
Until I start coughing.
