Economics discussion (not political!)

[DmonSlyr]

Cheap China garbage is all most need or want..not many are willing to pay more for slightly better quality..if they can locate the same item made here at all..

If prices continue to climb, in 2 years we will see what happens..my guess it would not be good for any real change the next 2 years..

Very glad my retirement $$$ are not in this manipulated market

Gets bad enough and they'll lower rates again to zero to spur on new "growth"...to be followed by higher inflation

Eagler

Here's one guys theory about what's going to happen that may seem reasonable.

https://x.com/robertdunlap947/status/1907898211827855576?s=42

[Eagler]

Not an X subscriber..what does he think will happen?

And does he think it will all be done in 2 years?

That is all the time there is imo...to say more becomes political

Eagler

[icepac]

Going for instant gratification regardless of affiliation is what got our economy here.   

Some of you sound like scientists who forgot to add a time component to thier calculations.

[Animl-AW]

YA, who needs retirements, our saved money going down the drain is for our own good <eye roll>
Markets still dumping

Some are engrossed in misinformation bubble.

[RUSH1]

Some are engrossed in misinformation bubble.

Even worse, some also have mental conditions (TDS).   

[CptTrips]

Even worse, some also have mental conditions (TDS).

Well, he certainly seems to have the markets confidence.


Burn, baby, burn.

[Animl-AW]

Even worse, some also have mental conditions (TDS).

Above your bilnd personal attacks to cover up your lack of knowledge, your next iPhone will cost $3.500

[Animl-AW]

[DmonSlyr]

Not an X subscriber..what does he think will happen?

And does he think it will all be done in 2 years?

That is all the time there is imo...to say more becomes political

Eagler

I don't have an account either. You can still click and watch. Bascially they are forcing the market sell off so people will buy bonds which will force the fed to cut interest rates in order to refinance 9 trillion in debt at a lower rate and then create a huge market boom.

It's funny with these guys though.. market crashing = muh poor 401k and everyone's retirement. Market increasing "muh rich are getting richer". I guess it's just never goes the right way...

That being said, the timing won't take long. They are keeping the blanket tax cuts for everyone and should pass soon. I'm hoping eventually those get cut even more, as they should, but can't do it all at once.

[CptTrips]

[Animl-AW]

I don't have an account either. You can still click and watch. Bascially they are forcing the market sell off so people will buy bonds which will force the fed to cut interest rates in order to refinance 9 trillion in debt at a lower rate and then create a huge market boom.

It's funny with these guys though.. market crashing = muh poor 401k and everyone's retirement. Market increasing "muh rich are getting richer". I guess it's just never goes the right way...

That being said, the timing won't take long. They are keeping the blanket tax cuts for everyone and should pass soon. I'm hoping eventually those get cut even more, as they should, but can't do it all at once.

This is one mans myth faltering massively. Fed just made a speech they will not lower anything. I suggest you watch it.

We are on our way to repeating yesterday losing 3 trillion

That would make 14 trillion in 3 weeks. All these people must lose their retirements savings to please the uninformed to learn a lesson? Absurd.

[Busher]

Even worse, some also have mental conditions (TDS).

We all know you are dedicated and I doubt you will care about this, but now that the USA has made economic enemies of virtually every ally you ever had, it is odd that not one dollar of tariff has been applied to Russia. And while I appreciate that market is small, the US still imported 3 billion dollars worth of Russian good in 2024.

[CptTrips]

That being said, the timing won't take long.

I remember back when you predicted less than 100 deaths from covid. 

Predictions are hard, especially about the future. 

[CptTrips]

No goal-save from Powell this time.

Fed pausing further rate reductions.


https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/04/powell-sees-tariffs-raising-inflation-and-says-fed-will-wait-before-further-rate-moves.html

Powell says, let it burn too.

A little less than half of America bought this ticket. 
Now we all get to take the ride.
I just made sure I was sitting near the escape hatch.

There eventually will be a bottom.  Given how distorted the state was before this started, when it's over, I would not have been surprised at all to have seen a 60% drop in the market from the peak. 

That may not happen all at once.  Typically there are one or more Sucker's Rallies that may even last for a couple of months.  Only to go back into free-fall once more suckers have been drawn into the kill-zone.

If Trump were to capitulate and materially back down, this might stop the bleeding for a while.  I will have to reallocate quickly.  I don't see that happening.  I see doubling down over and over.

On the bright side, you're watching history unfold.

[Animl-AW]

Well, just a thought to ponder;

When Ctp.Trips and I agree on ANYTHING, you might be wise to check your chosen path.