Originally posted by Weavling
Germany could have won the Battle of Britain, it's just that they screwed up. They almost had the RAF grounded, but they stopped bombing the airfields and started bombing the cities. If they stuck to thier first targets, they would have had more of a chance to win the Battle of Britain.
At least I think this is what happened. If I'm wrong, correct me.
Actually, this would make for the most interesting 'what-if' scenario for WWII. You can blame it on a single accident, compounded by Hitler's arrogance.
On August 25, 1940, a single He-111 bomber got lost on a night mission and dropped their bombs on central London, rather than their assigned target, in spite of specific orders not to do so. Churchill ordered a retaliatory strike on Berlin, sending 81 RAF Hampden bombers to Berlin the next night. This bent Hitler so far out of shape that he immediately gave a radio address, promising, "If the British bomb our cities, we will bury theirs" and, against the advice of his generals, issued orders to institute a merciless bombing campaign against London.
The relief from the bombing allowed the factories and RAF airfields to recover; had the strikes against the factories and RAF continued, it was entirely possible that the RAF could have been eliminated as a threat -- up to the point when the Blitz started, the Germans had been winning the war of attrition. Faced with the massive losses in aircraft and the loss of air superiority, Hitler cancelled Operation Sea Lion on October 12, 1940.
Had the redirection of the Luftwaffe offensive not taken place, German aircraft production could have been increased and the auxiliary fuel tanks developed during the Spanish Civil War could have been put into production, which would have given the Luftwaffe more freedom to operate over England. With air superiority, Operation Sea Lion would have taken place and England would have had to fight a ground war on her own soil. And for all the mistakes that Germany made regarding the development of the Luftwaffe as a strategic air force, their ground forces were clearly superior on a man-for-man basis.