Author Topic: A civil Iraq discussion thread: please leave your hyperbole at the door  (Read 4006 times)

Offline AKIron

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A civil Iraq discussion thread: please leave your hyperbole at the door
« Reply #120 on: September 21, 2003, 01:50:07 PM »
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Originally posted by Siaf__csf
It's pitiful that the posts here turn into character assassinations instead of trying to post valid answers.


Sure you're sore that after your drive-by you were chased down and pummled. Why is that so many resort to whining about personal attacks when it's clearly what they wanted?  :confused:
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Offline wulfie

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A civil Iraq discussion thread: please leave your hyperbole at the door
« Reply #121 on: September 21, 2003, 03:44:45 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by Siaf__csf
You pointed out that as guerilla warfare goes your troops aren't doing bad in Iraq. I don't argue that fact - the casualties aren't big considered the job they have to do down there. However I'm under the impression that the public opinnion in your country is that the loss of life is not acceptable regardless of 'how well' your troops do when put into the mission frame. If things continue like this for a longer time, heads will be asked to platter as the spending and loss of life mounts up gradually but certainly.


The attitude of the American public with regards to war and the cost of war is a weakness that is caused by naivete in such matters and the actions of the majority of the American media outlets who exacerbate the problem by (deliberately?) failing to keep things in perspective.

No matter how good you are or how inept your enemy is you are going to lose guys on the ground. If there's really an 'American Persona' part of that 'persona' likes perfection, 'shutouts', etc. This 'persona trait' has a hard time handling the fact that - to loosely quote Hitler of all people - 'Even a victorious army pays a price', i.e. there's always a few guys that don't get to celebrate the big win when it comes to warfare.

I think the primary factor is that most Nations in Europe and Asia have had a continuos first hand 'institutional memory' of what warfare is really all about for several hundreds of years. America does not have the benefit of such experience. The last war fought by Americans on American soil was the Civil War - There aren't any citizens alive today to recall that war. Most Americans don't know, don't want to know, or cannot fathom how ugly a 'real war' is. The ones who wind up serving in the various combat arms of the U.S. military are educated about 'real war'. The uneducated majority are then all too often 'played' by the media because nothing generates ratings better than causing dismay and shock.

Immediately after the end of hostilities in the '91 Gulf War "We're in real trouble the next time a real war comes around" was not an uncommonly heard statement among the various circles of military personnel that discussed such things. The point of the statement was that since the '91 Gulf War went so well, and ended so cleanly as far as the American public was concerned (funny how the media never covered the butchering of the Iraqis and the Kurds who rose up against Hussein and were 'hung out to dry', but there 'wasn't a dry eye in the media house' when Iraqi vehicles and soldiers were getting hammered trying to flee Kuwait along 'the Highway of Death') that a large % of the citizenry basically became 'spoiled'. They took away the understanding that war could be fought cleanly and almost painlessly as far as Americans were concerned.

I don't know how the lesson is going to be taught - if it's going to take a President losing an election and his successor having the same difficulties (thus showing people that the type of 'win' they want cannot be delivered), or some '4-Star' telling it like it is and then being forced to resign, or a succession of nasty (to Americans, 'par for the course' to the citizens of some other Nations) ground intensive military conflicts but eventually the people who honestly currently don't 'get it' (as opposed to the people who harp on every death not because they give a damn but because it gives them something to harp about) will eventually learn. The sooner the better. When uneducated public opinion adversely affects the freedom of planning and execution of the professional military everyone loses.

The short version - one example is we should have gone in on the ground in Kosovo and ended the war in 1/10 the time it took to end it. American losses would have been higher for sure. Bad guy losses would have been 10 times however (meaning less of them migrating to other conflicts, like the ones who proceeded to go over to Chechnya and become terrorists) and a lot of civilians who were murdered during the execution of the air campaign would be alive today. But the political masters of the U.S. military wanted a 'clean' war, with minimal U.S. bloodshed. The sentiment is nice but it is wrong when war is the last best option.

In the republic that is the U.S.A., the ideal and intended relationship between the government and the military is that the government states the objectives and the military attains them. Senators and Congressmen have no place when it comes to opinions on how to attain them. If you employ a surgeon to remove the tumor you let him do so in the best manner that he knows how. You'd be a fool to spend 2 days on http://www.webmd.com and then ask for his plan of action so you could 'improve on it'.

Tell the professional(s) what you need done, even assign conditions. But when it's time for them to go to work let them do the job and get the hell out of the way. I cannot stand the horde of retired/former/etc. military guys who show up on Fox or CNN or ABC or NBC explaining 'how it should have been done' when they are about as 'in the loop' as JFKs Wife was when it came to who was sleeping with who (by the way that's not an anti-Democratic barb there - I think JFK was a great person and a good President).

More guys are going to get killed no matter how good the planning, support, etc. There is no way around it. Guys getting killed does not equal a 'quagmire'. Guys getting killed with no progress being made *sometimes* might be called a 'quagmire'.

You'd think that people would have a little faith after the predictions before the Good Guys attacked the Taliban wound up being so far off target.

Mike/wulfie

Offline Dowding

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A civil Iraq discussion thread: please leave your hyperbole at the door
« Reply #122 on: September 22, 2003, 03:53:11 AM »
Wulfie:

Quote
Some Americans have said some dumb things on this BBS, but not one has ever gloated over the deaths of anyone's combat troops - even Iraqi combat troops.


You are joking right? I've seen comments from Americans gloating over Taliban deaths - hell, there were three threads devoted to that AC-130 footage containing plenty of mutual masturbation over the war-porn. Why do you think Hitech posted his request at the top of the forum?

Grunherz:

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Simple, they are basically communists who wanted to destroy the UK economy and align away from the UK/USA alliance which saved the world only a few years before. Just read about the UK coal miner union strikes and some of the UK anti war groups of the cold war era. Truly despicable people and Margaret was the perfect strong willed person to confront these evil groups. I simply love how she restored the UK economic progress by destroying the evil coal mining unions and putting those greedy unproductive bastards in their place.


For starters you don't know what you are talking about, pseudo-Yank. You weren't there. And as for AKIron - you won't understand because you are a Yank and didn't live over here either. It's really as simple as that.

I like the pathetic 'evil' 'communists' rhetoric. No I love it. Because from my own direct experience of that time, which I can't be bothered to relate to you, the people involved were hard-working families. The communities destroyed were hard-working communities.

Now do what you always do and back-track from your ridiculous starting assertions. I just love your Hollywood 'bad-guy, good-guy' interpretation of history. But then maybe you could try and patronise me with your complete lack of knowledge and/or experience of the events you speak so inanely of...

Rude:

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WMD's and their possible use....as it should have been.

The UN chief weapons inspector back in 95 admitted himself, that if it had not been for the defection of Sadams son in law and the following intel they recieved from him, they would have just left back in 95. At that time, he told them he had destroyed all of his WMD's.

The man can't be trusted...he has persued WMD's for the past 20 years.


All very interesting but doesn't address the point I was making regarding the switching of 'emphasis' in terms of the motivation for war. You've got to admit that humanitarian concerns have been up-played and WMD down-played.

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Why would you spend such time defending this man....you must need more direct proof....more dead Americans work for you....then you will let us know if we can act on our own behalf I suppose.


Eh? Why is questioning the afore-mentioned switch automatically a defence of Hussein and his regime? Is there something wrong with you?

And as for Americans dying and more direct proof [of WMD I assume] - how many have died from WMD?

Let's get real here. We don't invade other countries at huge cost because the guy in charge slaps his people around. That's fantasy. So let's all save bandwidth and dispense with the "but he killed xxx people a day before breakfast" arguments. There are plenty of people like him. The real issues at hand are whether there was WMD present, links to terrorism and whether he was a general threat to the region.
« Last Edit: September 22, 2003, 04:06:00 AM by Dowding »
War! Never been so much fun. War! Never been so much fun! Go to your brother, Kill him with your gun, Leave him lying in his uniform, Dying in the sun.

Offline GRUNHERZ

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A civil Iraq discussion thread: please leave your hyperbole at the door
« Reply #123 on: September 22, 2003, 04:14:38 AM »
I have some questions for you Dowding.. I had written a more direct and honest response but that would just have pissed you off so I'm gonna try a more constructive approach.

How many "hard working" communities of steam locomotive builders do you see around these days?

Why is that?

Offline Dowding

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A civil Iraq discussion thread: please leave your hyperbole at the door
« Reply #124 on: September 22, 2003, 04:22:08 AM »
You assume I have issues with progress? Clearly your knowledge of the '84 miners strike is practically zero. You have no idea of the issues and repercussions spawned by the actions of 'Ze *****'. Here's a clue - method. I'm surprised the books you're apparently read didn't go into detail.
War! Never been so much fun. War! Never been so much fun! Go to your brother, Kill him with your gun, Leave him lying in his uniform, Dying in the sun.

Offline GRUNHERZ

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A civil Iraq discussion thread: please leave your hyperbole at the door
« Reply #125 on: September 22, 2003, 04:29:10 AM »
The basic economic issue is simple - there were too many miners being paid too high an aggregate wage compared to their output of economic value and this was due to abuse of union power and their manipulation of the political system with massive strikes.

Everything else is pointless. And frankly the long term boost in the UK economy after this imbalance was adjusted with Margarets confrontation of the unions and her other economic moves proves me right...

Look I know this is very personal to you Dowding but damn man you cant look at macroeconomic from your individual level.

Offline wulfie

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A civil Iraq discussion thread: please leave your hyperbole at the door
« Reply #126 on: September 22, 2003, 04:38:28 AM »
Quote
Originally posted by Dowding
Wulfie:

You are joking right? I've seen comments from Americans gloating over Taliban deaths - hell, there were three threads devoted to that AC-130 footage containing plenty of mutual masturbation over the war-porn. Why do you think Hitech posted his request at the top of the forum?


Those weren't ATF soldiers getting scorched by the AC-130. They were Al-Q terrorists with maybe (if we got lucky - I'd say the odds were in favor of the Good Guys in this case) a few senior Taliban 'political' leaders and some Al-Q leaders thrown in for good measure. There was a meeting taking place. Look at the vehicles and the fact that the targets were meeting in civilian population center. They probably weren't holding the meeting in a tunnel/cave complex because they didn't think it was necessary (and the serious tunnel/cave complexes weren't very accessible to motorized transport). Bad assumption on their part. :) They can die slowly with extra helpings of agony for all I care.

We've talked about this before - the difference between a conscripted ATF soldier and an Al-Q shooter that chose to be a terrorist.

You don't send Predators looking for ATF soldiers at random villages. ATF soldiers weren't motorized except in a few very rare instances. You don't use AC-130s on ATF soldiers to make sure you zap everyone at the scene by reducing their chance of escape to almost zero. ATF soldiers were engaging Coalition forces in open battle for the most part so Predators and C-130s weren't needed. The special operations guys working with the Afghanis who were fighting against the ATF brought a rain of JDAMs and other assorted A2G munitions down on the poor bastards - courtesy of the huge #s of stacked strike aircraft waiting above for CAS requests. Unfortunately (or fortunately - depends on who you are fighting for), there is a limited # of AC-130s and their services are highly regarded so they are usually going to be used for jobs that require a very 'thorough' application of A2G firepower. You'll know that the JSOC has brainwashed or applied MKULTRA mind control techniques to the right USAF General (Finally!) when the USAF decides that it is going to form 3 new wings of AC-130s and 3 new wings of A-10s and put them all under the control of JSOC.

You don't send Predators on 'random searches' to begin with. Hypothetically speaking...say you collect intel that points to a meeting of senior leadership or really bad bad guys (like a cell or two of tier 1 Al-Q operators). You monitor the suspected meeting site with a Predator or with other surveillance assets as applicable. If the expected meeting develops you have the AC-130 available to personally and individually atomize every terrorist scumbag that shows up.

The guys who got killed in that video were far behind the front lines, with a tunnel/cave complex located next to a village and had a lot of vehicles. These things all scream 'Al-Q' and/or 'senior leadership'.

The ATF soldiers were for the most part on the front lines, eating JDAMs, and dying to buy time for the Taliban leadership and the majority of the Al-Q scumbags to get to their fortified positions deep in the mountains. No reason to gloat over the ATF guys getting killed - most were in the service of the ATF because their warlord boss chose the Taliban because the Taliban controlled all the food (backed by Al-Q muscle in many cases) or they were civilian men who were conscripted into ATF service with food ('Fight for us or the village where your wife and children live gets no food') used as leverage. In the end the ATF soldiers were used as 'JDAM fodder' and before too long most of the warlords fighting on the side of the ATF switched sides because they saw they were being used as such.

If guys were whooping it up over that footage just because someone was getting blown up - that's not my style and you know this. :)

But I have no sympathy for the guys getting killed in that footage because of who was getting killed. I know one guy personally who was kneecapped, then castrated with a knife, then had his throat slow-cut so he choked to death on his own blood - after he was 'captured' by some Al-Q terrorists. There were numerous Afghanis who were beaten severely, had their families beaten and/or killed in front of them, and were then killed themselves - by Al-Q terrorists who 'suspected' they were aiding the Coalition.

If you have to kill some Iraqi or ATF soldier - that's war and it happens. No reason to throw a party over it afterwards. Odds are the guy didn't want to be there in the first place when you are dealing with armies in the service of dictators (certain Republican Guard types being the exception). Killing terrorists is honorable service in the name of karmic payback in my book. Far more enjoyable and acceptable cause for beers all around afterwards.

Sorry for any misunderstanding,

Mike/wulfie
« Last Edit: September 22, 2003, 04:42:58 AM by wulfie »

Offline wulfie

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A civil Iraq discussion thread: please leave your hyperbole at the door
« Reply #127 on: September 22, 2003, 04:58:42 AM »
Quote
Originally posted by Dowding
Let's get real here. We don't invade other countries at huge cost because the guy in charge slaps his people around. That's fantasy. So let's all save bandwidth and dispense with the "but he killed xxx people a day before breakfast" arguments. There are plenty of people like him.


I think part of it was that he could be removed in a fairly contained fashion. Try to replace the leadership of N. Korea and it is guranteed that Seoul is going to disappear from the map in the first hour of the war. If Iraq had the same ability - i.e. say they could hit Tel Aviv or Qatar with several thousand tubes of artillery - and for some reason the Israelis didn't strike first :) - then Iraq would have had to been handled in a different fashion. This is precisely the reason Iraq was going after longer-ranged and more accurate SSMs. 100+ SSMs with 'special' warheads and the range and accuracy to hit Tel Aviv is effectively a 'gun to the head of an innocent bystander' for Iraq. They become a much more serious problem at that point, and even worse they know it - so they are inclined to 'push' more in terms of unacceptable behavior at the international level.

N. Korea's leadership is easily as evil as Iraq's leadership used to be. But the common dumb-as$ed chant of clueless Bush haters (Why don't we go after N. Korea?!? Because there's no oil to steal!) conveniently overlooks the fact that N. Korea already has the gun to the head of S. Korea's capitol. Military action is a much more serious endeavor 'from the get-go' because it's a given that you are going to have several thousand civilian deaths in the first hour of any war.

Mike/wulfie

Offline Tilt

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« Reply #128 on: September 22, 2003, 06:16:55 AM »
Its easy to get hung up on the WoMD issue.............

I think to analyse it all you have to right back to the white house speaches post 9/11 and read up on all stuff related to the war against terrorism. (TWAT)

Reading these you will find some common threads.........

1) America alone (if need be) against world wide terrorism targetted against it.

2) Total acceptance of the "pre-emptive strike" as a method of combatting world wide terrorism.

3)The "for us or agin us" policy toward other nation states.

The first casualty of this could have been (and some will argue was) the UN.

All three of the above doctrines are contrary to UN ethos yet here is the most powerful nation on earth, espousing exactly those doctrines.

So we see a game of spin occuring where by Americas Allies (UK/Blair) and senior American Statemen (eg Powell) attempt to bridge the gap between American policy re avacado and the governing nations of the UN.

Skating over Afghanistan, the Taliban and the hunt for Al Queda (which is a pretty big leap but too much for this narrative) we come to US policy re avacado the UN and Iraq and the run up to 1441.

The first question in relation to avacado is why Iraq? the second is why then?

Iraq had little or no links with Al Queda. It funded terrorism in Palestine as did (do) organistions in Iran, Syria, Saudi, Egypt, Libyia and Algeria plus others.

Indeed the totalitarian ba'athest state suppressed any form of organisation that would have looked any thing like Al Queda.

To look for the source wealth of Al Queda we look to Saudi first and latterly Egypt, Sudan and other Arab states. We see that whilst Saudi is superficially an ally it is not in control of the "Al Queda" problem.

Indeed it the relationship between the US and the leading Saudi families that fuels "Al Queda". Long term then Saudi is potentially unstable in a way far worse than Iran was in the time of the shah.

A paradox ensues.......... an international catch 22 if you will............ Saudi sits on the worlds largest oil reserves, it is an ally, it is undemocratic, it is fueling unrest and anti US sentiment thru its rulling casts relation ship with the US. Its de stablisation could wreck the world economy.

 avacado demands that the US must resolve the Saudi problem but the US finds its hands tied.

Iraq sits on the worlds 2nd largest (potentially largest) oil reserves. It is an international pariah, it is already under sanction re its refusal to allow weapons inspectors, large parts of its populace (apparantly) are in need of liberation, a war has already been fought against it with the full backing of the UN and large swaths of the Arab nations, and Iraqs "demonic" governmental structure is still in place.

The conversion of a potentially massively wealthy central Arabic state to that of a US freindly democratic and (hopefully) stable nation. Places a totally different aspect upon the Saudi problem.

The democratic (capitalist) model is a proven convertor of foe to ally in terms of the aspirations of the mass populaces. Even in Islamic regions we see popular use of  the democratic model over the islamic social model where it has been allowed to flourish. (malaysia, thailand early days in Indonesia) (or so US / western foriegn doctrine believes)

Further if a US freindly Iraq is stable the oil power of Saudi is not as massively critical to the west as it was. (still a biggie tho)

So why Iraq? .......... because Saudi was not an option and it is ultimate self funding.

Why now/then?  ............. because (so went US policy thinking) you can!

a)Ridding the world of an evil dictator.

b)Liberating an oppressed people.

c)Removing terrorist funding to Hamas and other Palestinian terrorist groups.

Plus with a bit of spin

d)Removing the potential for Iraqi funded terrorist strikes agin the US/west.

e)Countering a "real" threat of proliferation of WoMD in the hands of a "rogue" state.

All make this a "do 'able" option.

So Bushes government starts to make the case.......... and finds that the rest of the world (with the probabale exception of Blair) and indeed the US population does not really care about reasons a to c. Indeed only the US nation is really bothered about d.

e however is already work in progress. It allows allies such as Blair and statesmen such as Powell  to garner world support via the UN.

Together they start to build the case for 1441 and WoMD.  They believed that Blair could carry the Euro's and Powells administration could carry Putin into the adoption of a resolution that provided the full WoMD mechanism for invasion of Iraq.

But they did not. To get the support of the French and the Russians 1441 carried a ratification clause. Invasion could only be authorised by another UN mandate after inspections were judged to have failed.

1441 potentially tied the hands of the US in direct contradiction to the 3 common policies re avacado post 9/11.

The invasion window of spring 2003 loomed and US were forced to move logistics to the gulf in readiness. It was under the guise of "escalation" to force Hussain to "comply" yet we know now that despite publicity to the contrary no evidence of existing WoMD was available.

At this point 1441 had already been abandoned by the US administration. However Blair desparately needed 1441. He did not have the support in the UK without it. Further Powell still wanted to carry the UN and direct antithisism toward the UN would have harmed US interests elsewhere.

The French, Russians and Germans were not willing to accept that inspections had failed and China was starting to play a role.

Ratification did not follow no UN mandate to invade Iraq has ever been given.

The US (and the UK) went in alone.

WoMD became a tool, a bargaining chip used to persuade. It became a focal point in a way that Bushes "hawks" would never have wished IMO. It will be revealed as an hypocracy that will mask the right or wrong of the real reasons for invasion.

The real challange now is the construction of a free democratic  and above all stable Iraq. It should be seen to be free of all influence from foriegn governments yet freindly to the west.

TWAT depends heavily on this.

It will continue to take up US resources for several more years.

Be it military, or commerce or just straight aid.

It will have to develop through several US administrations, which may be Republican (with or without present thinkers such as Rumsfeld) or even Democrat.

It is simply a massive undertaking.
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Offline Tilt

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« Reply #129 on: September 22, 2003, 06:33:35 AM »
Quote
Originally posted by GRUNHERZ
The basic economic issue is simple - there were too many miners being paid too high an aggregate wage  


84 miners dispute was about power............
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Offline AKIron

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« Reply #130 on: September 22, 2003, 09:51:07 AM »
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Originally posted by Dowding
And as for AKIron - you won't understand because you are a Yank and didn't live over here either. It's really as simple as that.
 


Ah, I see. Yet not living here in the US doesn't deter you from offering your leftist views on how we should govern ourselves. If I offer to keep my opinions regarding English politics to myself perhaps you'll do the same regarding US politics?
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Offline Rude

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« Reply #131 on: September 22, 2003, 10:24:01 AM »
Dowding.....

My point is we believe that he was a threat and that his history proved, along with intel from around the globe, that he would continue as he had in the past.

As to talking down WMD by the Bush admin....the time to talk will come....most of you that are against this war seem to think that all the woes of Iraq should have been solved in 5 months time....it's not about the facts, it's political and for some of you personal towards GWB.

Just my opinion.

Offline Dowding

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« Reply #132 on: September 22, 2003, 10:52:40 AM »
Quote
Yet not living here in the US doesn't deter you from offering your leftist views on how we should govern ourselves.


Example, please. I couldn't give a rat's bellybutton about US internal politics. I don't believe I've ever expressed an opinion on how you 'should govern yourselves'.

But when it comes to the big wide world and America's administration, you can bet it will receive commentary if it interests me. Same goes for any other country.

I stand by my point - without having lived under Thatcher, your opinion is at best uninformed. Being impressed by a couple of quotes from some after-dinner speech hardly makes your opinion anything else.

Quote
As to talking down WMD by the Bush admin....the time to talk will come....most of you that are against this war seem to think that all the woes of Iraq should have been solved in 5 months time....it's not about the facts, it's political and for some of you personal towards GWB.


Forget about the 'Iraq rebuilding ETA' straw man argument - I wasn't arguing anything in that direction.

So you agree the talking down has taken place? Why do you think that is? Why do you think the US administration has switched emphasis?
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Offline AKIron

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« Reply #133 on: September 22, 2003, 11:29:20 AM »
Quote
Originally posted by Dowding
Example, please. I couldn't give a rat's bellybutton about US internal politics. I don't believe I've ever expressed an opinion on how you 'should govern yourselves'.


OK, maybe I'm mistaken, I'm not gonna search through your past messages. I will keep this in mind however when I read your future posts.
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Offline GRUNHERZ

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« Reply #134 on: September 22, 2003, 11:41:30 AM »
The destruction of the UK's economy is a worldwide matter Dowding...