Author Topic: Why Were The Allies So Successful  (Read 13601 times)

Offline Bruno

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Why Were The Allies So Successful
« Reply #150 on: May 13, 2006, 01:52:38 PM »
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So you belive, that no matter how much Axis power was available at the battle of Stalingrad they'd still have lost?


The reason for the defeat at Stalingrad was the result of poor intelligence and decision making. Your assumption is that if the Axis troops in NA some how became available that Hitler would have re-deployed them there. This is made-up fantasy. Hitler had troops freed up from Crimea, he didn't send them to Stalingrad. Hitler also ordered his southern forces split into two sending them in opposite directions. There are a number of more plausible 'what ifs' that may have reversed what happened at Stalingrad. Making the ridiculous statement that those troops being tied up in NA meant the Germans would loose at Stalingrad is stupid. The Germans had 'troops' tied up in every country they occupied. Why are the troops in NA so important?

At the time of Operation Uranus/Saturn Operation Mars was also under way in the center, those troops could have been just as easily deployed there or sent North to Leningrad. As Stalingrad played out it wasn't a major concern as what was going on else where.

Hitler never had a handle of the situation on the southern front. His decision to re-supply by air was based on inaccurate information and false re-assurances given to him by Göring.

Your 'fantasy' is inconsistent with what actually went on.

The reasons for the defeat at Stalingrad are simple. Hitler failed to secure his flanks and split his forces. Coupled with poor intelligence, improbable re-assurances and overall poor decision making leading up to defeat.

If all you are going to do is repeat the same post over and over I am not going  bother to reply.


E25280,

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Addressing "Wild" speculation, i.e. the scenario where the Axis won in the West/Med in 1940 and concentrating in the East in 1941-42, and would the Axis have been able to prevail generally vs. the USSR


First I don't think the Axis could have 'won in the west' anymore then they could have 'won in the east'. The Germans never had any real opportunity to invade England. In fact BoB was more a bluff to get the Brits to come to terms then it was a prelude to invasion. Britain was never going to come to terms with Germany.

Even when America was officially neutral they were actively helping keep Britain in the War. So its more the 'wild speculation' that the Axis would have defeated the west and then able to concentrate on the east as far as I am concerned. It's pure fantasy.

My point is you have to deal with what was before considering any 'what-if', At Stalingrad 'what was' was a series of gross missteps on the part of Hitler that lead to defeat. If you wan to discuss the 'what-ifs' surrounding those missteps then fine. However, it is futile to play the 'what-if' game based on nothing but pure make believe.

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What-if the Germans developed their robotic Übersodat with slavic death ray...


It's just silly nonsense.

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So in the narrow view, the question is whether 5 divisions (that were at least available to be re-deployed) would have made a difference at Stalingrad. I believe the 3 German divisions (especially 10th Panzer) would definitley have been useful had they been deployed in support of the Italians/Romanians/Hungarians.


To many assumptions to take seriously. 10th panzer might have gone to the Central Front (Operation Mars). They could have easily been sent South with Gruppe A to help secure the oilfields, a much higher priority then Stalingrad itself.Or they could have ended up trapped in the pockets along with 6th Army. Based on Hitler's decision making to that point any of the above is a possibility.

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The Italian 8th army alone was hit by three Soviet armies. Five more divisions may have slowed the tide, but I don't think they could have stopped it.


The Soviets hit the at Stalingrad where the Axis were the weakest. What makes you thing that would not have just adjusted their attack to account for the 'new formations'. They targeted the co-belligerents because they were weak. They targeted the flanks because this is where the weakest forces were. Hitler's decision making made this possible. As I said:

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What makes you think that Hitler would suddenly wise up and make better decisions in the deployment of those Axis troops in NA?

Offline Bruno

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« Reply #151 on: May 13, 2006, 02:24:50 PM »
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I never said history was getting in the way of facts. I said history was getting in the way of YOUR facts.


I know what you said, I quoted directly more then once...

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You think because you can quote some dates and names of operations that that makes you an expert on the way the war was conducted and what was what at the time.


I never claimed to be an expert. Please quore where I did.

You haven't posted one fact to counter what I have typed.

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I wonder what your age is? I was alive for some of the conflict were you?


I am 36, spent 6 years in the navy on fast attack submarines. Now I work at an electric generating station, easy job, easier money. I don't how this matters though...

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You made "general" statements that I believe are untrue and also insulting to millions of Americans who had loved ones or were involved in WWII.


Prove they are untrue. I haven't insulted anyone. I stated my opinion, if you are insulted by that then that's on you. I am not responsible for how you feel about things.

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I have yet to see a Russian General make a statement that "Lend Lease" was unimportant to them and didn't help them proscute the war in the east.


Quote where I said that... What I said was:

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The Soviets had already turned the tied long before lend lease provided any meaningful quantities of war materials and before the effect of the bombing campaign was felt on German War production.


Delivery of lend-lease materials didn't arrive in meaningful quantities until after the Soviets had turned the tied. If you dispute this please offer up a factual argument and prove me wrong.

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As a child right after WWII (I was born in 1943) I can't remember anyone talking about how we didn't need to go to Europe and I had D-day Vets on every block back then.


I don't care if you are 2 or 72 you haven't posted any 'fact' that demonstrates you grasp what is being discussed. Mostly your post consist of reactionary emotional rants.

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I resent your statement that I know nothing of history because I made one error on a conference date when the thrust of the statement was that Joe
Stalin demanded that the Brits and Americans open a second front and IMHO did so because of the massive losses to the Russians in the east which to my mind does not indicate a cake walk victory in the east.


Please quote 'Stalin's DEMAND'...

I never said 'cake-walk in the east'. Please quote me. An examination of Soviets losses in WW2 show it was far from a 'cake walk'. If all your argument consists of is 'straw man' then there's no reason to continue. If your opinions differ from mine then I have no problem discussing them.

I have stated Stalin kept pressure on the western allies to open a front in Europe. The fact is this didn't take place unitl 6 June '44. 22 June '44 the Soviets launched the largest offensive to date, Operation Bagration. Clearly the Soviets had turn the tied against Germany long before this.

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While I will admit that I should have checked my dates when dealing with such grogs as yourself I didn't and just relied on what is becoming a fadeing memory I guess. But I assure you that history is a major interest to me and I should not have made so glaring a mistake.


That's good to know. However, you didn't just make one mistake. First it was Yalta, then Cairo, then Gibraltar where Stalin made his DEMAND. Of course Stalin wanted a second front and repeated that often but if you ever come up with a date, quote and location (conference) where Stalin (or his surrogates) stood up and made that DEMAND please let me know.

Offline E25280

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« Reply #152 on: May 13, 2006, 02:34:16 PM »
Even my "narrow focus" hypothetical is obviously not narrow enough for you, even when I narrowed it so far that the ultimate analysis agrees with you that it would not have made a difference in the grand scheme of things.  You have no use for hypotheticals.  Thats fine.

"What-ifs" of course are pure fantasy and silly nonsense, and I conceded that point.  With the tone of a couple of the others, I can see how you may believe I was attempting to pile on, even though I am not.

So, I will just drop out of this since I am trying to have a conversation in the middle of an argument.

Thanks for your insights all the same.:)
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Offline Bruno

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« Reply #153 on: May 13, 2006, 03:06:47 PM »
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Originally posted by E25280
Even my "narrow focus" hypothetical is obviously not narrow enough for you, even when I narrowed it so far that the ultimate analysis agrees with you that it would not have made a difference in the grand scheme of things.  You have no use for hypotheticals.  Thats fine.

"What-ifs" of course are pure fantasy and silly nonsense, and I conceded that point.  With the tone of a couple of the others, I can see how you may believe I was attempting to pile on, even though I am not.

So, I will just drop out of this since I am trying to have a conversation in the middle of an argument.

Thanks for your insights all the same.:)


I don't think you were piling on. You may end up with one 'narrow hypothetical' that suits your point but then seven other folks will then show up with their own.

My problem with your hypothetical is that in order for me to entertain it I have to push aside what I already know. It's not really just a single 'what-if', it ends up with several 'what-ifs' to arrive at your 'narrow hypothetical'.

What if Germany Defeated the Western Allies..?

What if Hitler deployed those forces freed up from NA to Stalingrad..?

What if this unit was here and that unit was there..?

I already gave an answer in regard to Germany's prospect of defeating the Soviets alone.

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So, I will just drop out of this since I am trying to have a conversation in the middle of an argument.


That's how these type of threads end up. You can't have a free discussion on this forum with out some one being emotionally invested in a given opinion. Ultimately, they end up with straw man and and name calling. I am guilty myself of course but having first registered on this forum in Jul 2000 (Wotan) and with close to 13000 total posts or so I have grown accustomed to it.

As I said all those who fought against the Nazis contributed to the final victory. Every one has a right to feel proud about that. However, in threads like these that ultimately discuss 'who contributed more' some one always walks away 'insulted'.

My opinions (based on the facts not emotion) are that the Germans were defeated on the ground in the East (all wars are won on the ground). The LW was defeated in the air over the Reich (hammer and anvil; fighters = hammer, bombers = Anvil). However, I don't think the cost of the strategic bombing campaign was necessarily worth it. Nor do I think it proved to be decisive. I have stated I believe there was a better alternative. Opinions, at least participially, shared in the USAAF Strategic Bombing Survey.

Offline Kweassa

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« Reply #154 on: May 13, 2006, 03:12:03 PM »
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You made "general" statements that I believe are untrue and also insulting to millions of Americans who had loved ones or were involved in WWII.


 How is Bruno insulting anything when he is merely pointing out the objective conditions of the war which he believes was true? If that is to be considered an insult then since I was the one who first brought up the importance of the Soviet Red Army over any other standing army that participated in WW2, that would effectively make my statements and opinions also an insult towards Americans.

 The problem with your attitude is everything becomes personal. I won't pretend to understand how Americans feel over this matter but clearly there are multiple aspects and views concerning how the major combatants shifted around in their roles during the war and it is all subject to debate. I for one, believe that the decisive victory over the Germans were won by the Russians and their importance in the war is above the importance of the Americans - if this opinion should be taken as an insult, then it is an insult only to the people who take for granted that the US, like so many matters in the world, was (and should be) the most important participant of the great war - which, in the views of many more people, is clearly not.

 Ofcourse, I'd rather not rub salt over someone else's pride by stating things directly like Bruno did, when he said;


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The only answer some Ami's will accept is that 'Ami's won the war'.


 But the general frustration one has to deal with in any kind of discussion where Americans are involved is pretty much true to Bruno's statement. Everytime someone questions the propagated grandeuer of the US in WW2 we are met by very typical reactions. First they say we are insulting America. We are belittling the veterans and their families and their sacrifices throughout the war. Then they proceed to say either we are anti-American, or "un"American (if the person who challenged such views was himself from the States). 10 years back, the discussions would most typically end with the chant of "Commies!" across the boards. No, Boxboy, I am not accusing you of such radical reaction, but however I will go far as to say your attitude in this matter is dangerously close to one.


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I have yet to see a Russian General make a statement that "Lend Lease" was unimportant to them and didn't help them proscute the war in the east.


 Nor would anyone in this thread claim they have seen such a person. Nobody is denying that that the Lend-Lease was important for the survival of the Soviet Union. Nor are we even discussing it in the first place. The point which is under debate is that the Soviet Union would have eventually won over the Reich with or without direct military action from the Western Allies, and their separate efforts in the North African fronts and bombing raids over Europe was not one of the major reasons that made the victory of the Red Army possible. The point Bruno is making, (which I personally agree to) is;

 1) Yes, the Red Army received much needed supplies from the west, and it did prove to be vital to their military survival, but..

 2) No, the Red Army effectively fought alone against the cream of the German military, and decisively turned the tide of the war alone.

 3) Nobody is questioning the motives or the dedication of the Western Allies they put into their own efforts, but such effort or no, it was the Russians that bore the heaviest burden and made the victory of the Allies most likely, not the Americans.

 Is that such a difficult lump to swallow, or at least even admit as a worthy viewpoint about the war instead of being treated as an insult?


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As a child right after WWII (I was born in 1943) I can't remember anyone talking about how we didn't need to go to Europe and I had D-day Vets on every block back then.


 Which is totally irrelevant to this discussion. The perceived importance of one's own country's participation in the war should always be under critical attention since first-hand experience is often the most faulty and biased when trying to lay out an objective model of what happened during a certain historical period. In my own land we have Korean War veterans who treat peaceful public demonstrations and mass rallies as communist insurgencies influenced by North Korean spy networks. We respect their participation in the war, and feel gratitude towards it, but that doesn't make their political/social views on such matters necessarily any more/less true than someone who was born decades later.


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I resent your statement that I know nothing of history because I made one error on a conference date when the thrust of the statement was that Joe
Stalin demanded that the Brits and Americans open a second front and IMHO did so because of the massive losses to the Russians in the east which to my mind does not indicate a cake walk victory in the east.


 Yes, it wasn't a cakewalk. It happened to be the most brutal theater of war during the course of WW2, perhaps being the bloodiest in the history of mankind. Then clearly, it is only natural to consider this theater of the war as being the most important. Instead, fifty years of Cold War(47 years to be exact) propganda has effectively erased some very important chunks of information from the textbooks and molded the public perception to ignore the immense importance of the USSR, for anyone who was born either west of the Berlin wall, or east of the 38 Parallel. Ofcourse, the very same has been done by the Soviets to their own subjects, but we're not talking about them here.

 Stalin demanded a 2nd front. He urgently needed it. The enemy were literally "at the gates". There was no guarantee his country would survive the war. In fact, it was on the verge of disaster throughout the two years starting from June of '41. Basically he demanded and demanded and demanded and demanded it, with the answer being "not yet" everytime, until mid 1943, when the Russians just turned the tide without any "2nd front" being opened in mainland Europe. From that point on his diplomatic position is changed dramatically, when he realized the war would be won with or without the 2nd front.

Offline Angus

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« Reply #155 on: May 13, 2006, 03:14:48 PM »
Hehe, Bruno:
"What if Germany Defeated the Western Allies..?

What if Hitler deployed those forces freed up from NA to Stalingrad..?

What if this unit was here and that unit was there..?"

That's the fun part...for us who weren't there.
That's also the interesting part, and an endless study....How close sometimes the Axis were to victory.
There were many true turning points in WW2. They could have been elsewhere, turned out otherwise, and there could have been more.
There are indeed many "almost"'s from WW2, I think we all agree on that.
It was very interesting to carry out the flight trials at Rechlin with the Spitfire and the Hurricane. Both types are very simple to fly compared to our aircraft, and childishly easy to take-off and land. (Werner Mölders)

Offline E25280

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« Reply #156 on: May 13, 2006, 03:44:21 PM »
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Originally posted by Bruno
It's not really just a single 'what-if', it ends up with several 'what-ifs' to arrive at your 'narrow hypothetical'.

What if Germany Defeated the Western Allies..?

What if Hitler deployed those forces freed up from NA to Stalingrad..?

What if this unit was here and that unit was there..?
Again, just to clarify, in the "narrow hypothetical" I posed, I did not rely on Germany defeating the West.  

I looked only at the 5 divisions that were deployed to Tunisia as a direct result of Torch, not Axis units in Africa as a whole.  That is, the narrow hypothesis is that the US/UK does not land troops in Vichy North Africa, thus the 5 divisions historically sent there are free to be sent elsewhere.  It seems logical they would be sent to another "crisis area", since their deployment to North Africa was in response to a "crisis" there.  The counterattack northwest of Stalingrad surely qualifies as a "crisis".

To your point, there is no reason to believe this is where they would have actually ended up, or that they would have gone anywhere as opposed to remaining a mobile reserve in anticipation of the next Western Allied move.  But that is the nature of hypotheticals.  The 5 divisions were relatively easy to peg down as a deployment in direct response to a Western Allied action.  If that isn't quite narrow enough, then I don't think any hypothetical would be.

The War was so vast and had so many moving parts that it is impossible to say with any certainty "if not for X, then Y would have happened."  It is interesting when one tries to do so to see how other people view the same events.  This has been a lively discussion, and I have enjoyed it.
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Offline Widewing

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« Reply #157 on: May 13, 2006, 04:04:04 PM »
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Originally posted by E25280
Again, just to clarify, in the "narrow hypothetical" I posed, I did not rely on Germany defeating the West.  

I looked only at the 5 divisions that were deployed to Tunisia as a direct result of Torch, not Axis units in Africa as a whole.  That is, the narrow hypothesis is that the US/UK does not land troops in Vichy North Africa, thus the 5 divisions historically sent there are free to be sent elsewhere.  It seems logical they would be sent to another "crisis area", since their deployment to North Africa was in response to a "crisis" there.  The counterattack northwest of Stalingrad surely qualifies as a "crisis".
 


If you go to the fall of 1943, you find up to 23 German divisions defending Italy (November of 1943). Those divisions would have certainly aided  forces on the eastern front. Likewise, there were 13 divisions in Norway (generally second-rate units). Plus another 53 divisions in the rest of western Europe. Of the roughly 325 divisions within the German army, about 233 were deployed against the Soviets from Finland to the Black Sea. I do not know how many troops were required to control occupied countries, but the number is probably significant. I read somewhere that the total manpower not fighting on the eastern front was something around 100 divisions, or almost 1/3 of Germany's total strength. Clearly, Germany was stretched beyond what they could manage.

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Offline Bruno

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« Reply #158 on: May 13, 2006, 04:09:22 PM »
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Again, just to clarify, in the "narrow hypothetical" I posed, I did not rely on Germany defeating the West.


You are correct you wrote:

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Addressing "Wild" speculation, i.e. the scenario where the Axis won in the West/Med in 1940 and concentrating in the East in 1941-42, and would the Axis have been able to prevail generally vs. the USSR


Bare with me as I am replying to multiple folks so the quotes get mixed up...

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It seems logical they would be sent to another "crisis area", since their deployment to North Africa was in response to a "crisis" there. The counterattack northwest of Stalingrad surely qualifies as a "crisis".


Well IMHO the more the plausible 'what-if' is that after securing the Suez Canal the Axis would have moved into the mid-east. I doubt the British would have been completely routed in NA, they most likely would have pulled back toward Palestine. Allied forces were also in Iraq. Saudi Arabia had close ties to the US and the possibility of Allied forces being deployed in Saudi would have meant that Axis forces stay put.

Then there's the whole logistics things are getting those Axis troops and equipment moved to Stalingrad...

Let's forget where those '5 divisions' come from. Suppose Hitler had '5 divisions' to spare and could put them where he wanted and the point of a finger. We can look to where he sent those troops released from the Crimea. He sent them North. Then there's the situation in the center with Operation Mars. Also, Hitler had no idea about the size of the Soviet build to Uranus and Saturn. Even as the Soviets ran through the Rumanian's, Hungarians and Italians Hitler had no grasp of the situation. Once 6th Army was surrounded Hitler still thought he could supply them by air while he launched a counter to relieve the pocket.

Let's forget all that as well and pretend Hitler was either smart or lucky and deployed those 5 divisions perfectly around Stalingrad.  Soviet Intelligence was far superior to the Germans. Don't you think the Soviets would have accounted for those 5 divisions?

Now let's forget that and pretend the Soviets were blind and that Hitler had 5 divisions deployed perfectly. What happens? Even then victory is far from certain for the Germans.

Offline Bruno

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« Reply #159 on: May 13, 2006, 04:23:41 PM »
Just one more thing. It's o/t but seeing how these thread always end up badly I want to point out a thing or two about myself:

First here's is a picture of my Grandparents in England 21 May '45, their wedding day:

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My Mom was born in England and has duel citizenship. My grand mother was born in Coventry and was there when the Cathedral was fire bombed by the Nazis. My grandfather's family fled Italy in the early 30s. My grandfather was an electrician during WW2 and worked on B-17s. My grandmother was in Women's Auxiliary Air Force as was here sister. My grand mothers sister married an RAAF service man, they moved to Australia in the 50s. My Grandparents settled out side of Philadelphia.

Those who imply that I am some Ami hater or that I insult all Americans because I don't share your opinions are basically morons. Like many others in this country my father, his father, my uncles (five of them) my brother and I have all served in the US military. If you can't disagree with someone's opinion with out getting emotional involved then get some help. Don't project those emotions on to me.

Offline E25280

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« Reply #160 on: May 13, 2006, 04:26:44 PM »
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Originally posted by Bruno
Now let's forget that and pretend the Soviets were blind and that Hitler had 5 divisions deployed perfectly. What happens? Even then victory is far from certain for the Germans.


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Originally posted by E25280
But to say they would have averted the disaster altogether is far too big a stretch. The Italian 8th army alone was hit by three Soviet armies. Five more divisions may have slowed the tide, but I don't think they could have stopped it.

We can agree we agreed there, then.   :aok
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Offline Hap

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« Reply #161 on: May 13, 2006, 11:14:13 PM »
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Originally posted by Bruno
Your problem is you don't history at all.


an easy error.  i forgot whom . . . poseted a litinay of French failures.  1 of them involved the hugenots.  Their inclusion in the list showed even that person, who very much appeared to be in the know, either didn't know what happned after the treaty, or chose to ignore it to more forcefully support his point.

ignorance is eaisly remedied by research and explanation.  contempt prior to investigation is another matter that does not budge eaisly.

hap

Offline Boxboy

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« Reply #162 on: May 14, 2006, 02:06:36 AM »
Well this is my last post in this thread since it is now devolving into something much different than what we started with.

I do not wish to say that the 20 million Russian dead in WWII died for nothing (even tho some were shot by their own officers).

My concern early on was that Bruno seemed to be saying that the contribution of the US was either meaningless or unneeded, which I took exception to and for that matter still do.

At the risk of being called "historically challenged" again, it seems to me that the Russian Winter played a big part in the situation (much as it did when Napleon tried his invasion).

However I have no wish to offend anyone and to any to whom I have I apologise.
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Offline Angus

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« Reply #163 on: May 14, 2006, 04:38:03 AM »
Now this had some meat on the bones. From Widewing:
"If you go to the fall of 1943, you find up to 23 German divisions defending Italy (November of 1943). Those divisions would have certainly aided forces on the eastern front. Likewise, there were 13 divisions in Norway (generally second-rate units). Plus another 53 divisions in the rest of western Europe. Of the roughly 325 divisions within the German army, about 233 were deployed against the Soviets from Finland to the Black Sea. I do not know how many troops were required to control occupied countries, but the number is probably significant. I read somewhere that the total manpower not fighting on the eastern front was something around 100 divisions, or almost 1/3 of Germany's total strength. Clearly, Germany was stretched beyond what they could manage."

I'll add a point for you History Geeks. A double agent, positioned in Iceland tied down some force in Norway by passing the information that the allies were planning a second front in Norway!

Anyway, this gives a good image about the strength of armies applied on the eastern front. But airpower and naval power was on a larger scale....elsewhere. And many of the Russian victories were marginal. So you see what I mean.

Bruno, I assume your first language is English? Why do you use the term "ami" so much? Well, interesting family history anyway ;)

I'll give you some of mine.
Here is one of the guys I knew, and told me many a tale (not to mention all the beer we had :D)


And I drop a call on that one every now and then as well. I belive he is in Finland this month, or a part of it. We also spent a little time together:


A guy told me......;)
It was very interesting to carry out the flight trials at Rechlin with the Spitfire and the Hurricane. Both types are very simple to fly compared to our aircraft, and childishly easy to take-off and land. (Werner Mölders)

Offline Bruno

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« Reply #164 on: May 14, 2006, 09:30:02 AM »
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Bruno, I assume your first language is English? Why do you use the term "ami" so much?


Because its faster to type the 'American'...

Same with 'Brit'

The same guys who get their panties bunched over 'Ami' are the ones who use terms like 'Japs' or throw around the term 'Nazi'.

I used to refer to them as 'Allied Farm Bois' or 'Allied Opportunitists' but they didn't get the joke so I dropped it...