Bustr,
I'm not sure what your question has to do with the topic at hand.
My question stems from a not-infrequent occurance.
One night I'm in Mid.  I'm flying off the CV with Mole and some other guy, 3 of us against 3 or 4 guys about 20 miles away at their field.  Not trying to capture, just dogfighting.
I log on and Mole says, "I've got some good fights going on with Oldman over here."
So I up a Seafire, head on over and get into a great fight with Oldman22.  He goes down, comes back up, we are getting ready to merge.  We're nose to nose, but just so he knows I'm not going to shoot I do my little wing wiggle nose bump out thing.  We merge go into our fight and I get shot down.  We .  Nice fight.
Now, I have 2 kids and alot of work to do, so I only have an hour to play.  This is all the AH I'm gonna get today.  I up a F4U-1, a plane I'm not too good in.  Heading to the field, taking a few minutes to grab alt.  I see 2 Hurri 2c's coming in.  I go into the merge with Hurri #1.  I do my wing wiggle nose bump thing so he knows I'm not going to HO him.  His nose is a bit off the side too.  Should be a clean merge.  Then 400 yards out, "Stickpig" kicks his rudder into me and opens up with his cannons and takes off my wing.  I go down.
For 30 minutes I've been having good fights, now I just wasted 10-15 minutes of my hour of game time flying into a freaking HO.  Not fun.
I up again.  Same scenario.  I'm hoping this time it's Oldman22 and not Stickpig.  I open up a bit, nose comes right to me and opens up and before I even have a chance to evade I am right to the tower by NC33.
Now my game time is up, with the last 30 minutes taken up with two quick HO deaths.
For me, I would have like to see how I could handle that Corsair against a Hurri for a few minutes.  For them, I was a quick kill and a few perks.
I don't have all day and night to play this game.  This was a total waste of my time.
My question to YOU was whether, by performing an early avoidance maneuver to get my nose close, but not on you, could you tell that I was setting up NOT to HO you, because I don't want you to HO me because you think I'm gonna HO YOU.  That's it.
Somehow, I think in that situation Stickpig and NC33 were gonna HO me with their woobiecanes no matter what I did.  Maybe not.  Maybe they thought I was gonna HO them.  Did my maneuver make a difference?  That's MY question to YOU.
Whether you should or shouldn't HO, or whether the community has any input, I've read that discussion enough times.  I really don't care what the answer is.