Bama fan here - I think Oklahoma is playing as well as anyone right now and they do not have to play this weekend - they are a lock. They are scary good and their offense would give Bama fits.
Of the Big Ten teams looking at the CFP, I think Michigan State poses the biggest challenge to Clemson and Bama.
No one team has better than a 50/50 chance to win in the semi-final. I think Iowa is a bit suspicious, but admittedly I haven't watched them play
as much as i hate to admit it when you look at msu they are really good. offensive line is senior healthy and good, qb is senior and good, wr are skilled in every slot, and burbridge is nfl caliber, rb all four are good. on defense this is where they are scary good up front they simply dominate, they must be near the best, lb are skilled and play the game tough, secondary is young and their biggest weakness but if you give them a chance they would be happy to make you pay. i have not watched the top four play, they will need to be at their best to beat sparty and the iowa game should be a good game. i would guess the strengths will match well like msu vs osu and msu vs michigan.
does the other three have a defense that can stop the run and smash cook with a 4 man rush? can the pass the ball at will with a nasty fast rush in your qbs grill? that is what it will take to beat sparty at her best.
of course msu has a nak for losing when they are on top, a typical spartan flop!
p.s. dont tell dantonio i said that.