You think Israel doesn't have intelligence on the next 10 people in the Ayatollah line? Where they live, where they are. For starters.
I don't think that matters.
Between now and the mid-terms, you're not going to be able to kill them all.
It could work out OK. I doubt it.
But I also doubted the USSR would have dissolved without violence.
But I think that was a once in a millennia lucky bounce of the ball.
I don't think that will happen here.
I suspect this to be like Iraq. We will whack them occasionally and they will hold on to power because as long as you still have some thugs riding around in jeeps with machine guns, they can control an unarmed populace. You can't surgically pick off every thug in a jeep from 1500 miles away.
This will smolder on until things are a mess and we feel obligated to go in and finish it with boots.