Author Topic: Good Antiwar Argument  (Read 2355 times)

Offline beet1e

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« Reply #60 on: February 28, 2003, 04:47:25 AM »
Quote
Originally posted by Mr.Toad
What has Iraq done to the US that justifies pre-emptive war by the UN against Iraq?
With the current situation in Iraq, it is difficult to establish direct links between a regime like Saddam's, and the case for a just war against it. In the old days (WW2 and earlier) we had tinpot dictators who tried to expand their territory (Napoleon, Hitler) and it was easy to put together a case for a just war. Then we had the nuclear age, the Cold War, with each side (Russia and the US) knowing that to start a nuclear war would be futile because of Mutually Assured Destruction.

In this post nuclear age, the situation is different again. At no time in world history before 911 did we ever see the level of destruction and murder that we saw on 911, caused by a small terrorist group. From this, it is clear that world conflicts have moved into yet another phase. Far more people died on 911 as a result of terrorist outrage than were killed in the 1991 Gulf War. In 1982, we had our own war with Argentina who, under the command of the late General Galtieri, had invaded the Falkland Islands. A clear cut case of taking action against a tinpot aggressor whose ideas of expansionism had gone too far. In that war, only about 252 British servicemen lost their lives, and I believe the total tally was still much less than the tally for the 911 atrocities.

The world has changed with regard to conflict, since 1982 - or even since 1991. There are different forces at work. We now live with the daily threat of terrorist atrocities which would have been unthinkable even five years ago. What we had on 911 was not a bellicose act by a tinpot expansionist, but an orchestrated hate crime by a group of fanatics going under the umbrella of Islam.

In 1939, the argument was over Nazi expansionism. A clear cut case. We did not want Germany marching into other countries, but when they continued to do so, war was declared.

Today, the war is against terror. The difficulty is that the enemy is largely unseen. We do not know where OBL is. We do not know what plans al qa'eda has, or where they plan to strike next. We do our best - with the CIA using spy satellites and scanning the radio waves/mobile telephone trasmissions. And because much of this gathered intelligence has to remain secret, it's difficult to put a case to the general public, except in general terms.

It is believed that the day may come when Saddam uses WMD (again) or sells WMD to a third party. For people to compare Dubya to a fascist dictator is a nonsense when we look to Iraq. Saddam is the real dictator. Saddam is the one that has gone to war with five of his neighbouring countries. Saddam is the one who has launched Scuds against Israel. And Saddam is the one who has tortured and murdered, and gassed his own people in Northern Iraq.

We were soft on Iraq during the Clinton years but now Dubya, quite correctly in my view, is taking a tough line against Iraq. And why not? They are in violation of UN resolutions enacted at the time of the Gulf War.

We can't show "proof" that Iraq has or will sell WMD to AQ or another terrorist group. We don't know the individuals that might be involved in such a transaction. But we do know that Saddam sponsors terrorism, and we do know that he is developing WMD. If he had nothing to hide, why else would he kick out the weapons inspectors? Why else would he forbid overflight of Iraq by U2 spy planes?

When the weather looks like turning to rain, we might wear a raincoat and carry an umbrella - much more sensible than waiting for the rain to start and then looking for an umbrella shop. By the same token, Dubya is right not to wait for another 911. It was the USA that was attacked on 911 - not the UN, not France, not Germany, not Belgium... and I don't see why America should have to go through some bureaucratic wrangle at the UN to safeguard its own interests.

I say again - Saddam has defied the UN. He has been given every chance to resolve the conflict peacefully. He has chosen not to. Saddam is the aggressor, not the US.

Offline Eagler

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« Reply #61 on: February 28, 2003, 07:13:30 AM »
Quote
Originally posted by Toad
Well, Eagler, for starters, Hitler declared war on us first.  ;)


thank goodness huh :)
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Offline Toad

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« Reply #62 on: February 28, 2003, 07:58:02 AM »
Beetle, well written and nicely presented but.... I don't buy the "world has changed, just war theory doesn't apply any more".

The concerns you raise are valid but it's all "could be", "may be", "possibly" and "if". I think invading another sovereign nation on those precepts is too flimsy.

I'll acknowledge that some of those things MAY turn out to be true. But right now, there is no proof. If and when "proof" becomes available, it may be in the form of a WMD attack that is traceable to Iraq and it may cost many lives.

However, the US and its allies have obviously been unable to convince a majority of the Security Council that Iraq poses a threat of this magnitude. In the absence of an SC mandate.... a body that the US helped form to deal with exactly this sort of situation... it is the US that looks to most of the rest of the world like a rogue nation.

Now, I really don't care a fig how the rest of the world views us with one exception. This war on terrorism is going to go on for a long time and we will need the good will and trust of other nations to win it.

Believe me, I don't care a whit if Saddam catches a .308 in his teeth tomorrow. And I realize that leaving him in power is going to cost a lot of innocent people... particularly Iraqis... their lives.

However, the world stood by and watched the occupation of Austria, Kristallnacht and the occupation of Czechoslavakia before it reluctantly "stood to" after the invasion of Poland.

Clearly, the rest of the UN is going to have to have the scales fall from their eyes before action is taken and it will undoubtedly cost lives. It's another lesson the world is going to have to pay for in blood. So be it; upon their heads. Let us pray that the disaster falls upon those who presently obstruct this job that clearly needs doing. (I doubt that will be the case.)

Still, the US Congress has essentially abdicated its war making powers and the Executive branch has willing assumed them. I actually think W is a pretty moral man and he's almost undoubtedly right about Iraq. However, what of the precedent? What if the next President or the one after that ISN'T at all moral?

Look. Saddam desperately needs whacking. He clearly has WMD programs and he clearly ignores the needs of his own people. The outside world is feeding over 60% of the Iraqi population and he's still building statues of himself and WMD. Time for him to go.

But without the mandate of the UN... pitiful as it is.... the US cannot in anyway justify invading another sovereign nation.
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Offline Toad

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« Reply #63 on: February 28, 2003, 08:00:42 AM »
Quote
Originally posted by Eagler
thank goodness huh :)


Actually, I wish he hadn't. Would have made the Pacific war extremely short. We'd have been all geared up to help if the Russians hadn't won in Europe by then. Assuming a legitimate causus belli occured that would pull us into that conflict.

So borscht is the national soup of France? So?


;)
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Offline straffo

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« Reply #64 on: February 28, 2003, 08:10:58 AM »
I say Barszcz  (but I'm half pole so it don't count  :D)

Offline Eagler

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« Reply #65 on: February 28, 2003, 08:46:22 AM »
Quote
Originally posted by Toad
Actually, I wish he hadn't. Would have made the Pacific war extremely short. We'd have been all geared up to help if the Russians hadn't won in Europe by then. Assuming a legitimate causus belli occured that would pull us into that conflict.

So borscht is the national soup of France? So?


;)


don't think it was about france, more about the over 11,000,000 Jewish ppl he exterminated

ad talk about a Super power had Russia been able to defeat Germany ....

I think it turned out as it was intended too....
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Offline straffo

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« Reply #66 on: February 28, 2003, 08:55:07 AM »
Were did you got this 11 million ?
Not that I negate the Shoah but I've learned a number about 6 million not 11.

Offline beet1e

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« Reply #67 on: February 28, 2003, 09:28:09 AM »
Mr. Toad - fair comment, but let me ask you this: Did you support the US liberation of Kuwait/Gulf War in 1991? Was that a just war? I think it got the thumbs up all round - even from the UN. Since then, Saddam has thumbed his nose at the UN, has broken many resolutions and regularly violates the northern and southern no-fly zones. Even without a 911, Saddam deserves to be taken to task over this. Justification to whack him exists on the basis of his noncompliance alone. That is why I don't think we need any proof of allegiance between AQ and Iraq, though that will likely emerge in the fullness of time.

I see the situation in much the same way as the scenario in which a petty criminal is convicted and receives a suspended sentence - often imposed for first time offenders. (Do they do that in the US?) The criminal is free to walk, but if he gets into any sort of trouble again, the Court does not have to convict him of any new offences - his original sentence can be invoked, and the guy is banged up on the strength of it. Well, Saddam got a "suspended sentence" in 1991. We let him stay in power. Now it's time to get rid of him - not on the basis of sponsorship of terror, not because of links with AQ (whether or not proof exists and can be presented), but because he is in violation of the original terms of his "sentence". We may not have the proof we need to convince everyone, although that will surely come to light. And don't forget - one of the main reasons why proof is not forthcoming is because of Saddam's obstructionism, and barring of weapons inspections since 1998.

Offline Toad

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« Reply #68 on: February 28, 2003, 09:46:12 AM »
Yes, Beetle, I did support the '91 Gulf War. That was a pretty clear case of one sovereign nation invading another sovereign nation without causus belli under Just WarTheory and without any sort of mandate from the UN.

See my point?  ;)

As for your crime/sentence/court analogy, yes, it's clear that the "court" (SC) is aware that the "criminal" (SH) is not abiding by the terms of the "suspended sentence".

Unfortunately, the "court" is continuing to try to "rehabilitate" the "criminal" while leaving him at large for the present.

There simply is no decision here by the "court" to "re-arrest" the criminal.

Until there is, the cops need to stay out of it; Courts issue arrest warrants, not cops.

I'm not a big analogy guy, but..... hey, you started it.  ;)
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Offline Dowding

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« Reply #69 on: February 28, 2003, 11:02:41 AM »
If you are talking about Stalin, Eagler, he didn't murder 11 million Jews. No where near that.

He was a genocidal maniac who firmly believed in equal opportunites, you see. Every ethnic group had an equal opportunity to face extermination if it was neccessary. He killed millions of ethnic minorites using starvation through relocation. He also killed plenty of government officials, high in the Soviet set-up.

At one point, government worker appartments were being built with a secret back door, in which the secret police would enter in the night and remove whoever had pissed off Stalin, and their families. Next day, a new family would move in. It must have been terrifying.
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Offline Dead Man Flying

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« Reply #70 on: February 28, 2003, 11:38:17 AM »
Quote
Originally posted by Dowding
He was a genocidal maniac who firmly believed in equal opportunites, you see. Every ethnic group had an equal opportunity to face extermination if it was neccessary.


Yes and no.  Shortly before he died, Stalin had hatched a plan directly targetting Jews for extermination and/or relocation.  Surely if he'd had his way, it would have made the Holocaust look like child's play.  Thankfully the plan fell apart after his death, and none of the remaining leaders were insane enough to follow it through to fruition.

Here are some links to the "Doctor's Plot:"

http://www.us-israel.org/jsource/History/Human_Rights/plot.html

http://www.friends-partners.org/partners/beyond-the-pale/english/62.html

http://members.tripod.com/~jockoconnell/books1e.html

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Offline Hangtime

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« Reply #71 on: February 28, 2003, 11:51:24 AM »
Henh.

one argument calls for waiting for world opinion, else we become 'agressors, something we've always abhorred'.

Europe, 1938.

The world waited.

We all paid for that.

Who's to say that if we 'wait for world opinion' we'll have waited too long?

I ain't got the answer. I agree with Toad's 'Just War' assesment... to a point. I just think it's up to us, the folks who will bear the brunt of the cost, do the majority of the fighting to decide if we should do this or not... and if we do, when to do it. I'm not at all convinced the 'world' can be trusted to make a reasonable decision based on material data regarding Irag and Saddams intent prior to it being too damn late...
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Offline Toad

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« Reply #72 on: February 28, 2003, 12:06:11 PM »
Dowding, in a fashion similar to posting "Beetlejuice" in a thread, I fear you have summoned that defender of truth and justice from the dark side.

I expect Boroda here to entertain us at any moment. :D
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Offline john9001

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« Reply #73 on: February 28, 2003, 12:10:13 PM »
so we do not get confused Gulf War One never ended , a cease fire was agreed on , conditions of the cease fire have not been followed by iraq, so this will not be gulf war #2 , this is still gulf war #1, iraq is still the agressor and the USA is still under the UN orders to enforce the UN mandate to disarm iraq.

Offline Toad

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« Reply #74 on: February 28, 2003, 12:14:32 PM »
Yeah, Hang, don't get me wrong. I see what you're saying and agree with it overall.

However, you know that line about those that can't remember history are doomed to repeat it. The "world", at least that part of it on the UN Security Council that remains unconvinced, seems to have blank spots in its memory. Some of them just can't seem to remember; funny that three of the key players were major participants and suffered enormously.

So, looks like it's time for another history lesson for the human race. Face it, Planet Earth is Short Attention Span Theater. The only thing that holds their attention, if only for a decade or two, is huge amounts of bloodshed. Not dribbles and drabs of blood, veritable oceans of the stuff.

It took an ocean of blood and about 5 years to wash away the "Chamberlain Effect" last time. Unfortunately, the lesson only lasted about 50 - 60 years. Until the guys that acutally had to bleed to fix the problem faded from the political scene.

Nonetheless, I'm unwilling to become a nation that does the same thing Iraq did to Kuwait and Germany did to Poland. I'm resigned to taking another "Pearl Harbor" in the hopes that the "Chamberlain Effect" will again be put away until we get this round of loonies nullified.
If ye love wealth better than liberty, the tranquility of servitude than the animated contest of freedom, go from us in peace. We ask not your counsels or arms. Crouch down and lick the hands which feed you. May your chains sit lightly upon you, and may posterity forget that you were our countrymen!