Author Topic: AOL Presidential Straw Poll (Read 3587 times)

Halo · « **on:** October 21, 2004, 10:35:33 PM »

America On Line (AOL) has some the largest and most current polls anywhere, and its Presidential Straw Poll, with 245,464 votes so far from every state and DC, shows Bush ahead of Kerry and Nader by a considerable margin.

The poll, cleared at the beginning of each month to reflect the most current opinions, was last cleared Oct. 1. Don't know whether AOL will do a one-day November clearance before the election.

The October straw poll shows the following so far:

Electoral Votes

Bush 474 (270 needed to win), all states except 6 and DC

Kerry 64, 6 states (ME, VT, NY, MA, RI, CT) and DC

Nader 0

Popular Vote

Bush 55%,
Kerry 44%,
Nader 1%

NUKE · « **Reply #1 on:** October 21, 2004, 10:38:15 PM »

Halo, this is like what I felt and said all along. Bush will win in a landslide. I even predicted he would get over 400 electoral votes.

Gunslinger · « **Reply #2 on:** October 21, 2004, 10:38:29 PM »

I'd say this even if it showed kerry ahead....

If AOL decided our election we have alot more to worry about than terrorism!

Nash · « **Reply #3 on:** October 21, 2004, 10:39:57 PM »

pffft. AOLers..... mmmmkay.

NUKE · « **Reply #4 on:** October 21, 2004, 10:42:37 PM »

Nash, if I am right about the election, will you consider me a "fluke" and wright off my prediction as a lucky statement from a Bush supporter?

john9001 · « **Reply #5 on:** October 21, 2004, 10:42:55 PM »

i'm not saying i believe any"polls" but most polls sample about 700 people , AOL's poll has 245,464

Nash · « **Reply #6 on:** October 21, 2004, 10:46:44 PM »

Quote

Originally posted by NUKE
Nash, if I am right about the election, will you consider me a "fluke" and wright off my prediction as a lucky statement from a Bush supporter?

Pretty much, I have to say.

Nobody is getting a landslide. There will be no landslide. To even consider that idea, let alone vehemently support it, is referred to in some circles as cognitive dissonance.

NUKE · « **Reply #7 on:** October 21, 2004, 10:51:40 PM »

Well Nash, there are so many factors that point to Bush that it isn't conceivable that Kerry could win.

cognitive dissonance? I see that in you actually

john9001 · « **Reply #8 on:** October 21, 2004, 10:55:28 PM »

Quote

Originally posted by Nash

Nobody is getting a landslide. There will be no landslide. To even consider that idea, let alone vehemently support it, is referred to in some circles as cognitive dissonance.

there are no US troops at the bagdad airport, the US troops are lost in the desert.

Nash · « **Reply #9 on:** October 21, 2004, 10:55:29 PM »

Interesting...

You do realize that Houston just lost, right?

I think that says it all. Neatly folded, signed, sealed, and delivered.

What else could there be?

What are these so-called 'factors'?

Halo · « **Reply #10 on:** October 21, 2004, 10:58:08 PM »

What's the definition of a landslide victory? Would think it would be at least 60-40 and maybe even 70-30 for popular vote. But if that electoral count is anywhere close, that could be a landslide by just about any definition.

We have to wait for final result before cognitive dissonance, don't we? Rationalizing to justify a decision after the fact.

Tough to get an untainted poll. AOL may not represent the general population or the general voting population. But the sheer size and spread of its sampling ought to count at least as much as other polls which often sample fewer than 1,000 people.

NUKE · « **Reply #11 on:** October 21, 2004, 11:00:14 PM »

I have a few basic thoughts and observations that lead me to predict a Bush landslide.

I am using logic ( well, my logic), not emotion when I make these statements

Nash · « **Reply #12 on:** October 21, 2004, 11:01:00 PM »

Quote

Originally posted by Halo
" AOL may not represent the general population or the general voting population. But ..."

Yeah.

It's a deadly accurate sampling of RETARDS.

Nash · « **Reply #13 on:** October 21, 2004, 11:01:35 PM »

Quote

Originally posted by NUKE
I have a few basic thoughts and observations that lead me to predict a Bush landslide.

I am using logic ( well, my logic), not emotion when I make these statements

Lay it on me.

Gunslinger · « **Reply #14 on:** October 21, 2004, 11:03:16 PM »

refresh my memory.....

according to this http://www.electoral-vote.com/ kerry is at 271 bush at 257 with minisota being tied

If a canidate does not get 270 votes doesnt the senate decide the election?