Author Topic: General Climate Discussion  (Read 92988 times)

Offline Silat

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Re: General Climate Discussion
« Reply #45 on: October 23, 2007, 02:56:54 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by lazs2
no measurable rise in global temperature in 8 years now...  no measure of any increase for two decades in the US according to sat data...

Angus... are you now off co2 as the cause?  On to methane?   we are not contributing to methane.

And... say that co2 was evil... say that we decided to reduce it by 30%...  that would cost the world maybe 100 billion a year or more and... even if everything went just right... and nothing else changed...  we would reduce the temp .29 degrees by the year 2100...  if we happen to go into a cooling trend anytime before that.. we would simply be making things worse by .29 degrees.  Boroda would just be .29 degrees colder.

The global temp will trend downward in the next few years... the acoloytes and high priests of MMGW are in a race... the race is to enact taxation and penalties in time to take credit for nature... they have only a few years before their fraud is expossed.

It is a power grab by the socialists... plain and simple.   It is pure greed by the willing grant seeking "scientists" who go along.

lazs


Every study I read says that global temps have been rising Laz. Could you provide the link that say says otherwise?
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Offline Sabre

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Re: General Climate Discussion
« Reply #46 on: October 23, 2007, 03:09:00 PM »
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You see you are changing your own words now. You have gone from "discounted" to "ignored", it's a common practice, make the other guy look radical.


I find it not at all necessary to try to make the MMGW crowd look like radicals.  However, from an English thesaurus…

Discount (verb): Disregard, overlook, ignore, disbelieve, pass over, write off

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You are gonna have a real hard time finding any posts by me supporting Al Gore on anything.


Nor did I say you have.  I have never tried to hide my own disdain for Gore.  My point is that I do not disbelieve him on this issue because of my personal feelings about his character, but rather because after careful consideration of the evidence I find his arguments and conclusions unjustified.  Singer and other dissenting scientists have made counter arguments that I find more in sync with the evidence.

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There are plenty of scientist's with gold plated credentials who do not take cash from either side in this debate, I think I will put more credence in what they have to say if you don't mind.


No, I don’t mind; however, you state this as fact, but provide no evidence.  The most recent study (discussed in previous GW threads), which shows that belief in MMGW is not in fact the majority opinion among climate scientists does not disclose funding sources.  So, who are these gold-plated climate scientists, from whom and how do they receive funding, and what are their conclusions.  And what crystal ball do we use to determine their motive and agendas?  You see, everyone has an agenda, and it is not always to make money.  The former president of France once stated (paraphrasing here) that whether CO2 was truly causing global warming, he supported Kyoto because it was the first step towards a true global government.  So you see, we’re back to examining the evidence and arguments, rather then the source.  Is it okay to be skeptical, to question motives and agendas?  Of course.  It is not a reason by itself to a priori discount what they say.

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But if you want to search for an expert to validate your position and then hard sell it, be my guest, I see it done with "experts" in court all the time.


I agree.  Which is why we should always look first to the evidence.  The problems is, a majority of people (in and out of government) don’t bother.  

I have been accused above of making the “appeal to authority” logical fallacy.  I find that rather humorous considering that the GW alarmists like Al Gore and the IPCC are doing exactly that when they speak of the “consensus view” and declare that the debate is over.  Singer’s views (and others like Gray of the National Hurricane Centers) is offered here not as a stand alone appeal to authority, but to highlight that there are reputable scientists who do not support the concept of man-made global warming.

Let me ask the MMGW believers a simple question (well, three, really): Why do you believe man is causing global warming, what do you believe is/are the mechanism(s), and why do you believe these things?
Sabre
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Offline Arlo

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Re: General Climate Discussion
« Reply #47 on: October 23, 2007, 03:14:38 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by Thrawn
He's not a climate scientist, he's an electrical engineer.



Edit:


Hell, he's an electrical engineer that has worked on climate change "research" for  Exxon, Texaco, Arco, Shell and the American Gas Association.


Oh no. You're gonna get humped on now! ;)

Offline Arlo

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Re: General Climate Discussion
« Reply #48 on: October 23, 2007, 03:29:44 PM »
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Originally posted by Sabre
Ad hominen attacks are another tool used to defend a weak position.  


Keep that in mind. Thank you. :)

Offline Angus

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Re: General Climate Discussion
« Reply #49 on: October 23, 2007, 03:41:16 PM »
Around and around Lazs....


"pretty silly in any case... we can't even put out a simple forest fire... we think we can stop the planet from heating and cooling? we can't predict next weeks weather.. we think we know what it will be in 50 or 100 years?

really... how gullible are you guys?"

A globalwise effort with a plan could probably squelch the fires that you are now "locally" dealing with.
As for heating and cooling, we can, of course. We could actually have created a mini-iseage in a couple of hours some years back. And we could of course create forest fires that we could not stop.....we could also, if we wanted, deforest the whole globe in some 10 years....simple effort, just big.
("We" also could put a man on the moon)

And dear Lazs, - if you look at co2 output, deforestation, urbanization etc (Human impact) since...say 1857 (150 years) and draw the graph upwards, - tell me there are not going to be changes somewhere on the line.
Nothing of the scale we have been doing for the last 150 years can carry on straight for another good lenght of some 1000 years (Which is nothing compared to earths time). Nope. We're going to hit some wall when Gaia gets coughing....


My point is, that if you analyze a problem, and as a whole team deal with it, there is a lot that can be done. And if it is any comfort to you, I think the CO2 emission part is somewhat overrated, so it shades some quite important issues. And yet, it crosses other fields as well....
It was very interesting to carry out the flight trials at Rechlin with the Spitfire and the Hurricane. Both types are very simple to fly compared to our aircraft, and childishly easy to take-off and land. (Werner Mölders)

Offline john9001

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Re: General Climate Discussion
« Reply #50 on: October 23, 2007, 03:50:20 PM »
scientists are predicting the worst hurricane season ever.

Hurricane Season 2007—Predictions
Experts predict that the 2007 Atlantic hurricane season, which begins June 1 and ends November 30, has a 75% chance of being above normal in activity. "NOAA scientists predict 13 to 17 named storms, with seven to 10 becoming hurricanes, of which three to five could become major hurricanes of Category 3 strength or higher," said a NOAA official. An average season sees 11 named storms, with six becoming hurricanes, including two major hurricanes.

only 4 hurricanes so far, only 2 at category 3, only 4 weeks left.
Dude, where's my hurricanes?

Offline Shamus

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Re: General Climate Discussion
« Reply #51 on: October 23, 2007, 04:07:59 PM »
Ok, this conversation is getting rather circular.

In your quote below you refer to the evidence, I would assume that you arrive at your conclusions based on the opinions expressed by the various experts in the field, is this the evidence you are referring to?
 
Quote
Originally posted by Sabre


I agree.  Which is why we should always look first to the evidence.  The problems is, a majority of people (in and out of government) don’t bother.  

 


If so I find it incredible that the possible motive of the person issuing the opinion would not be a primary concern in establishing validity to you.

shamus
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Offline SkyRock

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Re: General Climate Discussion
« Reply #52 on: October 23, 2007, 05:34:29 PM »
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Originally posted by lazs2
It just keeps getting better and better..  as cpxx points out.. the alarmists will say anything at this point...

Any time anyone brings up anything they go into a fit... look at horlund.. he almost came unglued when his heros were attacked..  The truth is that there really are very few "scientists" in the UN panel that have anything to do with climate.. it is a relatively new science... hortlands implosion proves how insane the whole thing is.

skyrock.. sorry.. but you need to understand how co2 and greenhouse gas works.. a doubling does a certain amount of wave retention... a further doubling does almost nothing.. we are about 85% to a doubling at this point and it has added almost nothing to global temperature... It just isn't that big of a factor.  almost no one still thinks co2 is that big of a player except maybe hortlund and you.

pretty silly in any case... we can't even put out a simple forest fire... we think we can stop the planet from heating and cooling?   we can't predict next weeks weather..  we think we know what it will be in 50 or 100 years?

really... how gullible are you guys?

lazs

Lazs  many of your posts to me are insulting, I simply stated that co2 does matter, it is part of our atmosphere that directly affects solar heat retention and I don't believe in the "change the way you live" strategy for studying the growing problem.  Yet you somehow categorize me into some "the sky is falling" type.  If you refuse to accept factual knowlege about chemistry and the atmosphere, fine, just don't pigeonhole me on the subject. :aok

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Offline Slash27

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Re: General Climate Discussion
« Reply #53 on: October 23, 2007, 06:19:03 PM »
Global warming is no longer our greatest concern.



Nibiru!





2012 beyotches:noid

Offline AKIron

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Re: General Climate Discussion
« Reply #54 on: October 23, 2007, 06:19:20 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by Shamus
Ok, this conversation is getting rather circular.

In your quote below you refer to the evidence, I would assume that you arrive at your conclusions based on the opinions expressed by the various experts in the field, is this the evidence you are referring to?
 
 

If so I find it incredible that the possible motive of the person issuing the opinion would not be a primary concern in establishing validity to you.

shamus


I agree Shamus. Every scientists motive should be questioned. Especially the ones that want us to change something.
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Offline Mark Luper

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Re: General Climate Discussion
« Reply #55 on: October 23, 2007, 07:59:16 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by cpxxx

The constant criticism from all GW enthusiasts is that we critics and unbelievers are all ignoring the obvious. We're all right wingers, dupes of oil companies, pilots, car nuts etc with a vested interest in maintaining the status quo. Some might be but I think most of us are simply the kind of people who are suspicious of attempts to influence the the mass of people to accept a 'truth' that has yet to be proven. A truth that has more holes in it than the Titanic. What I find disturbing in particular is the number of people out there making a lot of money out of MMGW. They won't want that particular fire hose turned off.

The more apocalyptic the predictions. The less I believe it.


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Offline DREDIOCK

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Re: General Climate Discussion
« Reply #56 on: October 23, 2007, 08:38:18 PM »
OK Im not going to pretend I've read every post in this thread.
I havent.
But based on my experience here Its pretty easy to guess how it went.


At the risk of pointing out what my or may not have already been mentioned.

The climate is warming. I dont think anyone is disagreeing on that,
Thing is its reaching the point where the big question. At least as much as how and why it is happening is.
What we are going to do about it to adapt to it.
Natural occurrence or not
Its more then just cars and pollution we have to concern ourselves with.

Lets assume for a moment what I think may be the worst case scenario.
That it is natural.
Yes Im saying that its natural might be a worst case scenario. because then we dont know for certain how long it will last. It could literally last thousands of years.

We are looking at a complete redistribution of our climate and weather systems
and with it crop production. Something we all kinda need.
Think it wont have a great effect?
Look at what happened  during the last mini ice age.
And that was just a change of a few degrees.

Land masses will change, Once fertile and prosperous land will become barren as the heat evaporates the water form the earth.
Think it cant happen? All one has to do is look at the spreading deserts in Africa to see that once fertile and prosperous land can indeed dry up.
Now some may say. "Fine, The rain will then redistribute to other areas making those areas more prosperous."

Course your counting on that redistribution of rainfall to occur over land and not the ocean.
Considering the earth is 3/4 covered in water. That gives it a one in four chance that the rainfall redistribution will occur over land and not the ocean.

Point is there is a whole host of unpleasant things that can and probably will along with this phenomenon be it natural or man made.

The question. and real argument.
Should be Not whats causing it.
But how to adapt to it.

And wouldn't it be better to assume the worst case scenario and assume that it may very well be natural And we dont know how long it will last?

course even if it isnt. We still dont know for sure how long it will take for the warming to stop and for the earth to correct itself again
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Offline WilldCrd

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Re: General Climate Discussion
« Reply #57 on: October 23, 2007, 09:27:15 PM »
Its all hype! every damn bit of it on both sides!
in the 60's it was vietnam
in the 70's it was an oil crisis
in the 80's it was aids
in the 90's it was the upcoming dreaded Y2K (yeah that was a joke) and loosing the rain forests
in the first decade of the 21'st century its global warming

The next decade or so it will be some crisis, and people on both sides will be arguing about out how bad things will get or that it isnt that bad.
Regardless BILLIONS will be spent and wasted.
Just another excuse to spend and waste money.

Atleast back in the 50's there was a legitimate scare with global thermonuclear war with the Soviet Union. thats probably where it all started. People need to have some cause or some terrifying end of the world dilemma happening to get on a soap box and the NEED for more money to throw at some issue
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Offline SkyRock

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Re: General Climate Discussion
« Reply #58 on: October 23, 2007, 09:33:27 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by WilldCrd
Its all hype! every damn bit of it on both sides!
in the 60's it was vietnam
in the 70's it was an oil crisis
in the 80's it was aids
in the 90's it was the upcoming dreaded Y2K (yeah that was a joke) and loosing the rain forests
in the first decade of the 21'st century its global warming

The next decade or so it will be some crisis, and people on both sides will be arguing about out how bad things will get or that it isnt that bad.
Regardless BILLIONS will be spent and wasted.
Just another excuse to spend and waste money.

Atleast back in the 50's there was a legitimate scare with global thermonuclear war with the Soviet Union. thats probably where it all started. People need to have some cause or some terrifying end of the world dilemma happening to get on a soap box and the NEED for more money to throw at some issue

Some people see things before they happen, and they let people know about it, it may take some time, but the exaust/pollution thing will catch up to us......for real!  It will not be in our lifetime, and it is inevitable, just as the sun dying someday!

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Offline Mark Luper

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Re: General Climate Discussion
« Reply #59 on: October 23, 2007, 10:12:24 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by SkyRock
(Edit)...It will not be in our lifetime, and it is inevitable, just as the sun dying someday!


This is the part of what you wrote that I agree with. I also beleive the exhaust/pollution thing and the sun dying will come to a head at the same instant.

Mark
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